9月通胀数据报告
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关门第十天,美政府喊员工返岗制作9月通胀数据报告
Guo Ji Jin Rong Bao· 2025-10-10 13:51
Group 1: Government Shutdown Impact - The U.S. government shutdown has entered its 10th day, with both Democratic and Republican proposals being rejected, indicating a stalemate on healthcare subsidies [1][2] - Approximately 2 million federal employees have left their jobs due to not receiving pay since October 1, and if the shutdown continues until October 15, many active military personnel will also face unpaid wages [2] - The shutdown coincides with the release of the September inflation report, which is crucial for market rates and employment, and is closely monitored by the Federal Reserve for interest rate decisions [2][4] Group 2: Employment Market Concerns - Recent data from Bank of America indicates rising unemployment rates and slowing job growth, while Goldman Sachs reports that its labor market tightness index has fallen to 2015 levels, suggesting a challenging environment for job seekers [3] - The ADP report highlights that private sector employers reduced jobs last month, contributing to uncertainty regarding future Federal Reserve decisions [4] Group 3: Economic Consequences - Historical data shows that during the 2018-2019 government shutdown, the U.S. GDP decreased by 0.2%, and current market trends suggest that investor concerns about the shutdown's impact on the real economy remain [5] - The timing of the shutdown is critical as many businesses rely on fourth-quarter sales for financial stability, with expectations that the shutdown's effects on the real economy will begin to manifest this month [6] - The SEC shutdown has delayed various business plans, affecting companies like Vivani Medical, which had to pause its stock registration process, and Fire Starter Studios, which relies heavily on federal contracts [6]