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Bloomberg· 2025-11-01 12:02
In this edition of Wall Street Week, David Westin interviews Larry Summers about Trump’s China trip and talks with Nobel winner Geoffrey Hinton of the University of Toronto about AI risks https://t.co/pc2epwRRuu ...
Bazinet: The bull case on Netflix jumped from 25 to 40 times forward earnings
Youtube· 2025-10-21 11:41
Core Viewpoint - The current valuation of Netflix has seen a significant increase in forward earnings multiple, rising from 25 times to 40 times over the past 18 months, despite the stock's recent performance being driven more by fundamentals than by multiple expansion [1][4]. Group 1: Market Sentiment and Valuation - The initial bullish sentiment for Netflix was based on a lower earnings multiple, but concerns over AI risks, tariffs, recession, and government intervention led to a shift in investor focus towards Netflix, which was perceived as less risky [2][3]. - The stock has appreciated by 45% this year, but the expansion of its earnings multiple has plateaued, indicating a shift towards fundamental growth [4]. Group 2: Consumer Behavior and Market Position - Despite concerns about consumer spending and a bifurcated market, Netflix is viewed as an exceptional value, particularly when considering its cost relative to consumed hours [5]. - The company has not seen significant reductions in subscriptions compared to other streaming services, suggesting strong consumer loyalty [5]. Group 3: Growth Potential - Recent milestones, such as record viewership for specific events and content, indicate that Netflix may still have substantial growth opportunities, especially as streaming continues to capture a larger share of video consumption [6][7]. - Approximately 40% of all video consumption is now on streaming platforms, providing a favorable environment for Netflix's growth, although its market share within the streaming sector has remained relatively stable over the past four years [7][8].