Workflow
AVWAP
icon
Search documents
Crude Oil Price Forecast: Consolidates as Bears Press Key $62 Support
FX Empireยท 2025-08-19 20:58
Support and Downside Targets - The recent swing low of $62.19 marks critical near-term support, with a decisive break below this level confirming a continuation of the broader bearish trend [1] - The next lower target is projected between $60.66 and $60.60, aligning with a 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and a measured target from a falling ABCD pattern [1] - A deeper bearish objective is indicated at $57.71 based on a 100% projection of the same ABCD structure [1] Signs of Potential Reversal - Recent consolidation suggests that bearish momentum has temporarily stalled, opening the possibility for a short-term bullish reversal [2] - A small double bottom pattern has developed, with a breakout signal triggered on a move above last Friday's high of $64.18 [2] - If confirmed, this could lead to a test of resistance near the 20-Day moving average, currently at $65.78 [2] Key Resistance Zone - The resistance area is significant due to an anchored volume weighted average price (AVWAP) line from the June trend low, currently at $65.53 [3] - This AVWAP served as reliable support until it was broken to the downside on August 6 [3] - A rally back into this area would mark a critical test for bulls, as reclaiming the 20-Day average and AVWAP is essential to shift momentum in their favor [3] Outlook - Crude oil remains trapped between support at $62.19 and resistance at $64.18, requiring a breakout beyond either boundary for momentum improvement [4] - Traders can expect further consolidation within this range, with the broader bias continuing to favor the bears [4]