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Assessing Golub Capital BDC’s Performance For Calendar Q2 2025 (NASDAQ:GBDC)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-11 08:58
Core Viewpoint - Golub Capital BDC (NASDAQ:GBDC) had a quarter that met expectations, with a slight outperformance in adjusted net investment income (NII) and a minor decrease in net asset value (NAV), indicating stability in the company's financial performance [1][2][10]. Financial Performance - GBDC recorded a combined net realized loss and unrealized depreciation of $11 million in Q2 2025, which was better than the projected loss of $20 million [2]. - The investment portfolio size increased by $340 million during Q2 2025, primarily due to $557 million in loan originations, resulting in a 4.0% quarterly increase [5]. - Adjusted NII showed a very minor increase compared to expectations, with a variance of $0.013 [12]. Yield and Income - GBDC reported a weighted average annualized yield of 10.30% in Q2 2025, a slight decrease from 10.50% in Q1 2025 [6]. - The company did not waive any income incentive fees during Q2 2025, contrasting with previous quarters where fees were waived [7]. Non-Accrual Status - No new portfolio companies were placed on non-accrual status during Q2 2025, maintaining the total at nine companies, which accounted for 1.2% of the investment portfolio based on amortized cost [17][18]. Dividend and Valuation - GBDC declared an unchanged base dividend of $0.39 per share for Q3 2025, indicating confidence in maintaining dividend levels [19]. - The company is currently trading at a slight discount to its NAV, with a HOLD recommendation reflecting appropriate valuation [22].
Assessing Golub Capital BDC's Performance For Calendar Q2 2025
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-11 08:58
Core Viewpoint - Golub Capital BDC (NASDAQ:GBDC) had a quarter that met expectations, with a likely safe dividend for 2025 and trading at a slight discount to NAV, placing it in a "hold" range [1] Financial Performance - GBDC experienced a minor quarterly NAV decrease, aligning with expectations, and reported a combined net realized loss and unrealized depreciation of $11 million for Q2 2025, compared to a projected loss of $20 million [2] - The investment portfolio size increased by $340 million during Q2 2025, primarily due to $557 million in loan originations, resulting in a 4.0% quarterly increase [5] - Adjusted NII slightly outperformed expectations, with a minor quarterly increase compared to a projected decrease [4] Yield and Income - GBDC reported a weighted average annualized yield of 10.30% for Q2 2025, a slight decrease from 10.50% in Q1 2025, which matched expectations [6] - The company did not waive any income incentive fees during Q2 2025, contrasting with previous quarters where fees were waived [7] Debt Management - GBDC's recent debt refinancing and amendments are expected to improve NII/adjusted NII in future quarters, with a reduction in effective margin/spread [8] - The company repurchased 2.4 million shares at an average price of $13.99 during market volatility in April 2025, contributing to minor NAV accretion [3] Non-Accrual Status - No new portfolio companies were placed on non-accrual status during Q2 2025, maintaining the total at 9 companies, which accounted for 1.2% of the investment portfolio based on amortized cost [18][17] Dividend Outlook - GBDC declared an unchanged base dividend of $0.39 per share for Q3 2025, with no notable risk of a decrease in the current quarterly base dividend during 2025 [19][20] Valuation - GBDC is currently valued at a slight discount to its NAV, with a HOLD recommendation based on appropriate valuation [22]
Golub Capital BDC's NAV, Valuation, And Dividend Versus 11 BDC Peers - Part 1 (Includes Recommendations As Of 5/30/2025)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-06-04 19:29
Core Viewpoint - The article analyzes Golub Capital BDC Inc.'s (NASDAQ:GBDC) recent performance metrics and compares them with 11 business development company (BDC) peers, highlighting GBDC's strengths and weaknesses in terms of net asset value (NAV), economic return, and investment portfolio composition [1][2][25]. Summary by Relevant Sections NAV and Economic Return Analysis - GBDC's NAV per share decreased from $15.13 at the end of Q4 2024 to $15.04 at the end of Q1 2025, reflecting a quarterly decrease of 0.59% [11]. - The economic return for GBDC in Q1 2025 was 1.98%, with a trailing 12-month economic return of 11.77%, which is above the average of its peers [11][25]. - As of May 30, 2025, GBDC's stock price was $15.21, trading at a premium of 1.74% to its estimated NAV of $14.95 [24]. Investment Portfolio Composition - As of March 31, 2025, GBDC's investment portfolio consisted of 92% in senior secured first-lien loans, with less than 1% in subordinated debt and 7% in equity/warrants [15][17]. - GBDC's fair market value (FMV) versus cost ratio was 0.9941, slightly below the peer average of 1.0106, indicating a minor negative trend [17]. - The company had a low non-accrual percentage of 1.2% based on amortized cost, which is below the peer average of 3.5%, suggesting better credit quality [18]. Performance Metrics Comparison - GBDC's cumulative realized loss per share was ($0.44), which is more favorable compared to the peer average loss of ($0.82), indicating stronger long-term performance [19]. - The adjusted net investment income (NII) for GBDC was $0.388 per share in Q1 2025, with a price-to-annualized NII ratio of 9.80x, slightly below the peer average of 10.01x [21][24]. - During Q1 2025, 6.88% of GBDC's total investment income was attributed to capitalized PIK/deferred interest income, aligning with the peer average of 6.87% [22]. Management and Fee Structure - GBDC recently reduced management fees from 1.375% to 1.00%, the lowest among its externally managed peers, which is expected to benefit shareholders [27]. - The cap on income incentive fees was lowered from 20% to 15%, further enhancing the company's attractiveness to investors [27]. Overall Valuation and Recommendations - GBDC is currently deemed appropriately valued, with a price target of approximately $16.05 per share, indicating a HOLD recommendation [34]. - The company is positioned to weather potential economic downturns better than many peers, supported by its low exposure to high-risk sectors like oil and gas [31][20].