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Alphabet Stock Could Enter Major Downtrend
Investopediaยท 2025-09-11 23:30
Core Viewpoint - Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) is expected to experience a significant decline in advertising revenue in 2020 due to financial stress on companies, raising concerns about the stock's recovery potential after a substantial first-quarter decline [1][11]. Advertising Revenue Impact - Travel industry ad spending is projected to decrease by $3 billion in Q2 2020, with Google search engine being the most affected, as this segment represented 10% of Google's ad revenue and $10.7 billion of total revenue in 2019 [2][3]. - The hospitality sector is also anticipated to cut ad spending, with many small- and medium-sized restaurants facing bankruptcy due to the pandemic, further impacting Alphabet's revenue [3]. Stock Performance and Trends - Alphabet's stock has shown a long-term uptrend since its IPO in 2004, but the recent downturn in ad revenue could signal the end of this trend, with significant support near $1,000 being tested multiple times [4][6]. - The stock reached an all-time high above $1,500 in February 2020 but has since faced challenges, indicating potential topping out after a decade-long bull run [5][6]. Technical Indicators - The monthly stochastic oscillator has entered a sell cycle, suggesting relative weakness for GOOGL into Q3 2020, while the on-balance volume (OBV) indicator has shown a decline, indicating a potential reversal [7][9]. - Current price action is facing major resistance at the alignment of the 50- and 200-day EMAs, with a high-volume breakout needed to attract interest, but a reversal is more likely, exposing the stock to test March lows [10].