Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - **Industry**: Internet Sector in North America - **Key Companies**: GOOGL, META, AMZN, DASH, CHWY, DUOL, U, RBLX - **Overall View**: The internet sector is viewed as attractive with a focus on GenAI catalysts and evolving debates impacting major players [1][2][3] Core Points and Arguments GenAI Catalysts - **Catalysts Identified**: Model advances, agentic offerings, capital expenditures (capex), and custom silicon are expected to drive performance for GOOGL, META, and AMZN [1] - **Capex Projections**: Total data center capex is expected to reach approximately $505 billion in 2026, up 24% from the previous year, and $586 billion in 2027 [5][6] Company Preferences - **Mega Caps Preference**: The order of preference for the next 12 months is AMZN, META, and GOOGL [2] - **Smids Preference**: Positive outlook on DASH, CHWY, DUOL, U, and RBLX [2] GOOGL Insights - **Search Revenue Growth**: Anticipated search revenue growth of approximately 12% in 2025 and 9% in 2026, driven by AI innovations [16] - **GCP Growth**: Google Cloud Platform (GCP) is expected to grow by 31% in 2026, with potential upside from TPUs and custom silicon [16] META Insights - **Revenue Growth**: Expected revenue growth of 23% in Q4 2025 and 18% in 2026, driven by core GPU-enabled improvements [25] - **Llama Model Launch**: Anticipated launch of the next Llama model in early 2026, which is crucial for META's competitive positioning [25] AMZN Insights - **AWS Growth**: AWS is projected to achieve over 20% growth in 2026, supported by increased data center square footage [37] - **Retail Margins**: North America retail margins are expected to improve, with potential EPS growth of $8-$9 in 2026/2027 [33][38] Shared Economy Insights - **Rideshare Growth**: UBER and LYFT are expected to grow US trips by 15% and 12% respectively in 2026, with UBER's scale providing a competitive advantage [43] - **Food Delivery**: DASH is projected to add over $300 million in annual adjusted EBITDA in 2026, driven by synergies from the ROO acquisition [46] Online Travel Agencies (OTAs) - **Room Night Growth**: Stable growth of 7% in room nights is expected for ABNB, BKNG, and EXPE in 2026, influenced by macro leisure travel demand [49] - **Agentic AI Risks**: The rise of agentic AI poses both risks and opportunities for OTAs, particularly in retaining market share at the top of the travel funnel [49] Additional Important Insights - **Capex as % of FCF**: GOOGL, META, and AMZN are expected to have capex as a percentage of free cash flow (FCF) reaching 57%, 73%, and 78% respectively in 2026 [12] - **Consumer Behavior Trends**: Surveys indicate that a significant portion of ChatGPT and Gemini users engage in commercial behavior, highlighting the competitive landscape for GOOGL and META [21][22] This summary encapsulates the key discussions and insights from the conference call, providing a comprehensive overview of the current state and future outlook of the internet sector and its major players.