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This Is How You Value Tesla
Seeking Alpha· 2026-01-25 13:00
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of generating alpha through independent investment strategies, focusing on a generalist approach across various sectors with potential for outperforming the S&P 500 [1] Group 1: Investment Strategy - The company manages a family portfolio primarily through a Self Managed Super Fund, aiming for a holding period that ranges from a few quarters to multiple years [1] - The investment approach includes building and maintaining spreadsheets that track historical financial data, key metrics, guidance trends, and performance indicators [1] - The company prefers not to build DCF models for long-term projections, instead focusing on assessing past performance and the outlook on five key drivers of DCF valuation: revenues, costs and margins, cash flow conversion, capex and investments, and interest rates [1] Group 2: Research Methodology - The company monitors relevant industry news, reports, and other analysts' coverage to stay informed about the stocks being analyzed [1] - In instances of CEO changes, the company conducts in-depth research on the new leader's background and past performance [1] - For companies with high trading multiples, a reverse DCF analysis is sometimes performed to understand the implied growth CAGR implications [1]
Barrick Mining: Don't Miss This Gold Mine Expansion And IPO Re‑Rating Story
Seeking Alpha· 2026-01-15 15:53
Group 1 - The independent investor aims to provide alpha-generating investment ideas through a generalist approach, analyzing various sectors with perceived alpha potential against the S&P 500 [1] - The typical holding period for investments ranges from a few quarters to multiple years, focusing on comprehensive financial data and key performance indicators [1] - The investor emphasizes the importance of assessing a company's historical performance and outlook on key drivers of valuation rather than relying heavily on DCF models [1] Group 2 - The investor intends to buy shares of Barrick Mining within the next 72 hours, indicating a positive outlook on the company's stock [2]
IonQ: Turning Bullish After A Disastrous Bear Call
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-30 03:57
Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of generating alpha through independent investment strategies, focusing on sectors with perceived potential against the S&P 500 [1] - A generalist approach is adopted, allowing for exploration and investment across various sectors, with typical holding periods ranging from a few quarters to multiple years [1] Research Methodology - The company maintains comprehensive spreadsheets that track historical financial data, key metrics, guidance trends, and valuation comparisons against peers [1] - Monitoring includes not only company filings but also relevant industry news and reports, as well as analyses from other investors [1] - In instances of leadership changes, a deep dive into the new CEO's background and past performance is conducted to assess potential impacts on the company [1] Valuation Approach - The company rarely utilizes Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) models for long-term projections, believing they offer limited value [1] - Instead, the focus is on evaluating how a company has performed historically and the outlook on five key drivers of DCF valuation: revenues, costs and margins, cash flow conversion, capital expenditures, and interest rates [1]
Celestica: New Networking Wins Keep The Revenue Engine Revving
Seeking Alpha· 2025-07-08 15:39
Core Insights - The focus is on generating alpha through independent investment strategies, primarily managed via a Self Managed Super Fund [1] - The investment approach is generalist, analyzing various sectors with perceived alpha potential compared to the S&P 500 [1] - The typical investment holding period ranges from a few quarters to multiple years [1] Research Methodology - Comprehensive spreadsheets are maintained to track historical financial data, key metrics, guidance trends, and valuation comparisons with peers [1] - Monitoring includes industry news, reports, and other analysts' coverage, especially during significant events like CEO changes [1] - The emphasis is on assessing company performance and outlook based on five key drivers of DCF valuation rather than projecting long-term financials [1]