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X @Ash Crypto
Ash CryptoΒ· 2025-11-06 18:45
Market Sentiment & Cycle Analysis - The analysis suggests the Bitcoin top is not yet in, contrasting with perceptions of a 4-year cycle due to the absence of euphoria comparable to December 2024 [1] - The report indicates that current Bitcoin setup is more similar to 2019, influenced by factors like rate cuts and the end of Quantitative Tightening (QT), rather than mirroring the conditions of 2021 [2] - The analysis emphasizes the importance of business cycles over fixed 4-year cycles in understanding market dynamics [2] Technical Indicators & Correlation - The analysis points out a historical correlation where Bitcoin tends to follow Gold's price movements with an approximate 3-month lag, suggesting a potential rally this month [1] - The analysis is closely monitoring the weekly EMA-50 level, currently at $103 thousand, as a critical bull/bear demarcation line since Q1 2023 [3] Altcoin Season Assessment - The report argues that the absence of a widespread AltSeason, characterized by broad-based altcoin pumps, further supports the idea that Bitcoin has not reached its peak [2]
X @Ash Crypto
Ash CryptoΒ· 2025-08-09 12:44
π—”π—Ÿπ—§π—–π—’π—œπ—‘/𝗕𝗧𝗖 π—¨π—£π——π—”π—§π—˜ πŸš¨βž™ Broke out of 4-yr RSI downtrendβž™ Broke out of 3-yr price downtrendI can smell an AltSeason, can you? https://t.co/pyRkdOaTW0 ...