Asset Prices

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The New Weird Relationship Between The Job and Stock Market
From The Desk Of Anthony Pompliano路 2025-10-11 22:15
Why is the labor market weakening. Apollo's Torson Sllock, he took a stab at explaining the slow job growth. There are three reasons why job growth is slow.Lower immigration, AI implementation, and fewer government jobs. So the bottom line, he says, is that the weak labor market is not due to weaker labor demand, but rather to weaker labor supply. So this analysis by Torson is very, very important.Pay attention to it. It highlights three major trends that are unlikely to change in the near term. So that sug ...
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Anthony Pompliano 馃尓路 2025-10-09 18:50
From the Desk of Anthony Pompliano0:00 Weak Labor Market Will Push Asset Prices Higher2:36 Bitcoin and Ethereum Are Leaving Exchanges3:47 Peter Schiff Interview On The State Of US EconomyEnjoy! https://t.co/V1Jh8NBpAl ...
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Anthony Pompliano 馃尓路 2025-10-09 15:52
The lower the labor market goes, the higher asset prices will go.This is the opposite of what has happened historically.Update your mental framework immediately. https://t.co/v1ESiBqDK4 ...
X @Investopedia
Investopedia路 2025-09-12 03:00
Learn what economic bubbles are, how they form and burst, and explore historical examples like Tulip Mania and the Dot-Com Bubble, to better understand asset prices' escalation and decline. https://t.co/OAw6ZOna7v ...
The Fed Admits DEFEAT On Inflation Goal
From The Desk Of Anthony Pompliano路 2025-08-26 16:45
Monetary Policy & Inflation - The Federal Reserve has effectively abandoned its 2% inflation target, which it hasn't consistently achieved since February 2021 (over 50 months) [1] - The Federal Reserve acknowledges a "0%" chance of returning inflation to the 2% target [2] - Rate cuts are anticipated, leading to an influx of cheap capital into the market [2] Market Outlook - Asset prices are at all-time highs, and further increases are expected due to anticipated rate cuts [1][2] - The US economy is projected to "run hot," benefiting investors [3] - Bears predicting recession are expected to be incorrect [3]
X @s4mmy
s4mmy路 2025-08-14 17:22
Unfortunately the gap between wages and asset prices is only going to broaden.Job displacement will be exacerbated by technology, particularly AI.It鈥檚 no wonder the rich are building bunkers, I don鈥檛 see how this doesn鈥檛 end with a revolt.If UBI isn鈥檛 the solution, what is?CL (@CL207):more and more people cat see is struggling to get joball while wage has been dropping all time lows if you compared to cost of living / rent / asset pricesand since a lot of investing ppl follow cat, if one thing you can do fo ...
How to Fix the Real Estate Market
Benjamin Cowen路 2025-08-08 16:22
Interest Rates and Housing Affordability - Lowering interest rates by the Federal Reserve (Fed) does not inherently make housing more affordable; in some cases, it can make it less affordable [2][3] - Mortgage rates are more dependent on the long end of the yield curve (e.g., 10-year and 30-year yields) and typically trade 1.5% to 2% higher due to associated risks [6] - The Fed is projected to lower interest rates in September, but this may change based on labor market reports and inflation readings [7] - If the Fed cuts rates preemptively to avoid a recession, it can reignite "animal spirits," causing markets to rise and the bond market to reprice inflation risk, potentially increasing mortgage rates [12][13][14] - Cutting rates prematurely may worsen the real estate market [34] Asset Prices and Housing Market Improvement - Lower asset prices are needed to achieve a durable improvement in housing affordability [22][23][25] - Lower asset prices lead to a lower long end of the yield curve, which in turn leads to lower mortgage rates [39] - The market may take 6 to 12 months to accept the reality that lower asset prices are necessary to improve the real estate market [23] Market Dynamics and Future Outlook - The housing market is currently seeing a drop in new privately-owned housing units under construction due to unaffordability [20][21] - The author anticipates that after a second round of rate cuts, potentially starting in September, the long end of the yield curve will likely increase, leading to higher mortgage rates [29][30] - It may take a couple of years for the market to accept that lower asset prices are needed to improve the real estate market [33]
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Anthony Pompliano 馃尓路 2025-07-23 15:08
Market Overview - Markets are broken and engineered to inflate asset prices indefinitely [1] - A "new normal" has emerged, requiring investors to adapt their mental models [1]
X @Ansem
Ansem 馃Ц馃捀路 2025-07-12 12:23
RT Kellan Grenier (@kellangrenier)Fin: The USD is going lower. Americans will be asked to tolerate slightly higher target inflation. In return, they get higher asset prices, across a broader mix of assets. Every child will be born with a head start. This gives us a chance to satisfy our massive debt burden.馃嚭馃嚫 ...