Economic Overview - The US national debt has reached $37.88 trillion as of October 2, 2025, increasing by $2.2 trillion since October 2024, which translates to $283,098 per household [1] - The average interest rate on total marketable debt is 3.415%, leading to $241.26 billion in interest payments over the past year [1] Asset Movements - Bitcoin surpassed $125,000 and gold reached a record $3,924.39 per troy ounce, indicating a significant shift towards alternative assets [2] - The US dollar has declined over 10% year-to-date, losing 40% of its purchasing power since 2000, prompting investors to seek safety in Bitcoin, gold, and silver [2] Debt Projections - If the current growth rate continues, the US national debt is projected to hit $38 trillion by December 9, 2025, with each additional trillion accumulating in approximately 169 days [3] - The Congressional Budget Office forecasts net interest as a share of outlays to rise to 13.55% in fiscal year 2025 and 14.11% by 2027 [3] Market Correlation - The correlation coefficient between gold and the S&P 500 reached a record 0.91 in 2024, indicating that these assets moved in tandem 91% of the time [4] - The S&P 500 has increased by 40% over six months, adding $16 trillion in market capitalization, while the Nasdaq 100 has seen six consecutive monthly gains [4] Precious Metals Rally - Gold has increased nearly 47% year-to-date in 2025, driven by over 1,000 tons of central bank purchases, particularly from China and India, alongside Federal Reserve rate cuts [5] - Analysts note a pattern of dollar debasement against alternative reserve assets, similar to trends observed after the global financial crisis [5]