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Is Newmont Stock a Screaming Buy After a 150% YTD Rally?
ZACKS· 2025-11-13 15:26
Core Insights - Newmont Corporation's shares have increased by 150.5% year to date, driven by rising gold prices and strong earnings performance [1][6] - The company's stock has outperformed the Zacks Mining – Gold industry and the S&P 500, with notable gains among its peers [2] Financial Performance - Newmont's liquidity stands at $9.6 billion, with free cash flow reaching $1.6 billion, reflecting a significant year-over-year increase [14] - The company has distributed over $5.7 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases in the past two years [15] - Newmont's earnings estimates for 2025 have risen, with a projected year-over-year growth of 71.3% [20] Growth Projects and Strategic Focus - Newmont is investing in growth projects, including the Ahafo North expansion and other projects in Australia, aimed at increasing production capacity [9][10] - The acquisition of Newcrest Mining Limited has enhanced Newmont's portfolio, expected to generate $500 million in annual run-rate synergies [11] - The company has divested non-core assets to focus on Tier 1 assets, anticipating $3 billion in after-tax cash proceeds from its divestiture program [12][13] Market Conditions and Valuation - Gold prices have surged approximately 60% this year, influenced by global trade tensions and central bank purchases [18] - Newmont's current forward price/earnings ratio is 13.11X, in line with the industry average, and the company is trading at a discount compared to some peers [21] Investment Outlook - Newmont is positioned for attractive returns due to its strong project portfolio, financial health, and favorable market conditions for gold [24]