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Here's Why You Should Hold DexCom Stock in Your Portfolio for Now
ZACKSยท 2025-11-11 18:45
Core Insights - DexCom, Inc. (DXCM) is positioned for growth in the continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) market, with a strong third-quarter performance and favorable coverage decisions expected to drive further growth, despite facing stiff competition [1][2] Company Overview - DexCom has a market capitalization of $21.45 billion and projects a 22.5% growth rate over the next five years, indicating strong future performance [2] - The company has surpassed earnings estimates in two of the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 0.17% [2] CGM Market Potential - The diabetes market presents significant potential, with over 130 million people in the U.S. and more than 400 million globally affected by diabetes, driving demand for CGM devices [3] - The global CGM device market is expected to grow at a CAGR of nearly 10%, reaching $14 billion by 2032 from over $6 billion currently [4] Product Ecosystem and Innovation - DexCom generates nearly 90% of its revenue from disposable CGM sensors, with strong demand driven by product performance and user experience [6] - The G7 and One+ products are gaining traction due to broader insurance coverage and growing physician support, particularly among Type 2 diabetes patients [6] - DexCom's software ecosystem, including features like AI-powered insights, is enhancing patient engagement and supporting reimbursement efforts [7] Recent Developments - The launch of Stelo in 2024 has already generated over $100 million in its first year, indicating strong market acceptance [8] - DexCom is expanding global reimbursement for its CGM sensors, which is expected to drive broader adoption, especially among Type 2 diabetes patients [9] International Expansion - DexCom has made significant progress in international markets, securing reimbursements in countries like France, Canada, and Japan, which is expected to improve affordability and patient access [11] Financial Performance - DexCom reported strong third-quarter results with double-digit top-line growth and raised full-year guidance, reflecting successful execution in expanding access to CGM [12] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 earnings per share has increased to $2.07, with fourth-quarter revenue expected to improve by 11.7% year over year [15]