Aviation system inflation

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AAR(AIR) - 2025 H2 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-08-27 22:00
Financial Performance - Air New Zealand's operating revenue reached $6.8 billion, consistent with the previous year[35] - Earnings before taxation (EBT) decreased by 15% to $189 million[35] - Net profit after taxation (NPAT) declined by 14% to $126 million[35] - The company declared full year unimputed ordinary dividends of 2.5 cents per share[35] Operational Challenges and Mitigation - Aircraft availability challenges resulted in an estimated $165 million adverse impact on 2025 earnings, partially offset by $129 million in compensation[11,37] - Transformation initiatives delivered approximately $100 million in EBITDA benefits in 2025[23] - The airline is actively managing aircraft availability due to global engine maintenance delays, with up to 11 aircraft grounded out of a 60 jet fleet in 2025[27] Capacity and Demand - Available Seat Kilometers (ASKs) decreased by 4%[11] - Passenger numbers decreased by 3% to 16 million[11] - Loyalty members increased by 9% to over 5 million[12] Future Outlook - The airline anticipates a 2% to 4% increase in group capacity in 2026, equating to approximately 90% of pre-Covid capacity[77] - Fuel costs for 2026 are estimated at approximately $1.5 billion, assuming a jet fuel price of US$85 per barrel, with approximately 70% of volumes hedged[79,105] - Continued price increases in landing charges, aviation security, and air navigation for 2026 are expected to result in approximately $85 million (13%) incremental cost[79]