Bear Flag

Search documents
Crude Oil Price Forecast: Slides Below 50-Day Average Amid Bearish Pressure
FX Empire· 2025-07-22 21:03
Group 1 - The 50-Day support line is currently at risk, having been tested twice since the breakout in June, with the first test resulting in a bullish hammer candlestick pattern [1] - A significant resistance was encountered at the 200-Day moving average after a sharp advance, indicating a successful test of resistance at the lower rising trend channel [1] - A bear flag pattern was triggered with the breakdown below the lower channel line, indicating potential bearish momentum [1] Group 2 - There is a notable support zone between $65.65 and $65.00, which has previously acted as both support and resistance, including an AVWAP level from the April low [2] - Crude oil found support and bounced from the AVWAP line during a sharp drop from the trend high four weeks ago, reinforcing the significance of this support zone [2] Group 3 - A decisive decline below $65.00 could lead to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at $64.50, with a potential further decline to the 78.6% retracement at $60.71 [3] - An ABCD pattern suggests a potential target of $64.42, aligning with the 61.8% Fibonacci level, indicating a critical price area for future movements [3] - The behavior of the market after reaching the $64.50 area will be crucial, as strong support may lead to a bounce, with recovery speed of the 50-Day MA being a determining factor [3]
Crude Oil Price Forecast: Bear Flag Trigger Awaits Further Confirmation
FX Empire· 2025-07-15 20:54
Group 1 - The 20-Day moving average has recently turned down, indicating potential resistance around the 200-Day MA and the 20-Day MA, consistent with a bearish flag formation and a bull channel breakdown [1] - A significant support zone is identified between $65.74 and $64.50, which includes the 50-Day MA and other technical levels, suggesting that a decline below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement will confirm a continuation of the bear flag breakdown [2] - A rally above today's high of $67.41 could lead to testing resistance around the 20-Day MA at $68.47, while a decline below today's low of $66.50 would trigger further bearish movement [3] Group 2 - The current market conditions reflect a narrow trading range, which is not typical for a solid breakdown, indicating caution among traders [3]