Welcome back to the good watch channel everyone. My name is Josh and right now Bitcoin is currently rejecting from this exact area of resistance in the immediate short term. But while this is happening in the price of Bitcoin, we're continuing to see a bounce in the short term in the US stock market. And on top of that, we're continuing to see more liquidity building just above the price of Bitcoin that we need to pay attention to.So, I'll be talking about that in just a moment alongside Ethereum, which is ...

The crypto market is still cooking right now. We are still hovering around $2 and a half trillion dollar. And while we are waiting for the next big move here, we do have a very big day ahead of us because yes, we do have FOMC day.Now, I have been talking about this. I have been addressing it as well. Um, it's definitely going to be an important one to listen into.Not for the actual rate cut decision because I don't think that we're going to get a rate cut. I think that we get a pause, but I do believe that ...

Market Trends and Analysis - The crypto market is currently experiencing bearish pressure, influenced by the pullback in the US stock market [4][11][50][52] - Bitcoin is testing crucial support levels and showing potential for further downside movement if key levels are breached [1][6][7] - Altcoins are generally underperforming Bitcoin, indicating a challenging short-term outlook for the altcoin market [27][28][31] - Ethereum is showing signs of a potential bullish divergence, but the short-term trend remains bearish [29][31][32][33][34][35] - Solana is approaching a critical support level, with a potential drop towards $100-$105 if the $124 support is broken [37][38][39] - XRP faces significant bearish divergence on larger time frames, with $1.80-$2 acting as the final significant support area [41][42][46] - Chainlink is following the broader market's bearish trend, testing support around $12, with potential for further downside if this level is breached [47][48][50][51][52] Trading Strategies and Opportunities - The analysis suggests considering short positions in the current market environment, particularly if key support levels are broken [13][14][15][16][28][53] - Potential entry points for short positions are identified, such as a retest of resistance levels or a break below support [14][15] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring key support and resistance levels to identify potential trading opportunities [24][25][46][51] Exchange Promotions - Pinex crypto exchange offers bonuses for new accounts, including a 50 USDT bonus for completing KYC and deposit bonuses up to 1,000 USDT for deposits up to 10,000 USDT [17][18][19] - 2bit crypto exchange provides exclusive bonuses and a trade protection and recovery fund, potentially allowing users to recover some liquidated funds [20][21]

Market Trend & Analysis - Bitcoin is in a strong bear market, indicated by bearish divergence from Summer [1] - Death cross confirmed, marking the first occurrence in this cycle [1] - Loss of EMA50W confirmed, also a first in the cycle [1] - Bitcoin respects 4 years cycle, indicating a BEAR market now [1] - Repeat of same 2021-2022 bearish fractal [1] Liquidity & Financial Health - Repo markets are empty, suggesting liquidity is at ZERO [1] - Banks liquidity is at Credit Suisse crash levels [1] - Japan (BOJ) is facing serious trouble with Repo failure [1] Investor Behavior - Retail investors are still holding, with no capitulation seen yet [1] - Retail investors are still believing in a bull market, buying the dips [1] - Stock insiders have been STRONG selling since August [1] Institutional Activity - Tons of liquidated trading firms from Oct 10 [1] - Tons of liquidated institutions from Oct 10 [1]

Core Insights - Zcash (ZEC) has shown significant price performance, rising over 17% in the last 24 hours and approximately 178% over the past month, despite a generally weak crypto market [1] - The price has confirmed a flag breakout and recently surpassed $438, with the next target set at $594 [1] Market Dynamics - Open interest in Zcash futures has reached a six-month high of $337 million, indicating aggressive long positions among traders [3] - On Binance, long liquidations amount to $30.27 million, significantly higher than short liquidations at $12.43 million, suggesting a market heavily skewed towards long positions [4] Potential Risks - The current market imbalance could lead to fragility in the rally, with a potential price pullback if ZEC falls below $450, and a more significant correction if it drops under $342 [5] - A bearish divergence has been observed, where ZEC's price has made higher highs while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has formed lower highs, indicating a potential loss of upward momentum [6][8] Positive Indicators - Despite the risks, large spot wallet inflows remain robust, with the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) at 0.13, indicating positive money inflows [9] - A rise above 0.14 in CMF would suggest increasing buyer dominance, while a break over 0.24 could indicate aggressive accumulation by whales [9]

Market Overview - The stock market has faced challenges this week, with the Spyder Trust (SPY) and Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) both down 0.90% for the week, marking three consecutive days of decline, causing trader anxiety [2] - The S&P 500 advance/decline line closed below its EMA, indicating a corrective mode, with initial support reached and stronger support levels identified [4] Sentiment Analysis - The American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) reported no change in bullish sentiment at 41.7%, while bearish sentiment decreased to 39.2% from 42.2% the previous week [2] - Historical data shows that the bull%-bear% reached a low of -30 during the SPY's bottoming phase in March-May, with expectations for a rise to the +20 area before a stronger correction [5] Bitcoin Market Insights - Bitcoin to US Dollar (BTCUSD) has experienced higher highs in 2025, testing yearly resistance at 124,723 in August before declining to the 20-week EMA at 109,559 [5] - A bearish divergence was confirmed in the MACDs at the end of August, indicating a potential for a deeper decline in BTCUSD [6] - Despite a positive reaction in the stock market to the PCE inflation report, BTCUSD remains down 5% for the week, with anticipated resistance in the 111,000-113,000 range for any potential rebound [7]

Technical Analysis - Bearish divergence observed in BNB 4H chart [1] - Price is making higher highs while RSI indicates lower highs [1] - Potential pullback is anticipated [1] Disclaimer - NFA (Not Financial Advice) [1]

Market Trend - Bitcoin dominance bearish divergence confirmed on the weekly timeframe [1] - Industry anticipates potential shifts following the bearish divergence [1]