Michael Saylor’s Bitcoin (BTC) treasury company, Strategy (Nasdaq: MSTR), increased its U.S. Dollar Reserve by $747.8 million last week. The company used the proceeds from the sale of its MSTR common stock during the period to fund the cash raise. Related: Michael Saylor's Strategy announces $1.44B dollar reserve as stock slumps With the latest accumulation, Strategy's USD Reserve is worth $2.19 billion as of Dec. 21. The company said it may adjust the reserve from time to time based on market conditions ...

Bitcoin Market Sentiment - Michael Saylor认为比特币的波动性是一个特点，而不是缺陷 [1]

Core Viewpoint - Coinbase's recent stock decline is viewed as a temporary setback rather than a long-term warning sign, presenting a buying opportunity for investors [1][2] Group 1: Stock Performance and Market Position - Coinbase shares increased by 2.6% to $246.53 in early trading [1] - Circle's stock has dropped nearly 80% from its 52-week high, despite USDC's market cap remaining stable [1][2] - Both Coinbase and Circle are expected to move in tandem due to their connection with USDC, with Coinbase serving as a broader crypto gateway [2] Group 2: Market Dynamics and Future Outlook - Analysts attribute current market volatility to an immature market characterized by concentrated holdings and a surge of first-time ETF buyers [2][3] - The decline in Bitcoin prices does not change the analysts' positive outlook on Coinbase and Circle [2] Group 3: Revenue and Business Strategy - Short-term weakness may impact Coinbase's trading revenue, but the company is gaining U.S. spot market share and expanding its global derivatives business [4] - Coinbase's Subscription & Services (S&S) revenue has risen to about 40% of total revenue, supported by a resilient $74 billion USDC market cap [5] - The bank maintains a $777 million estimate for Coinbase's fourth-quarter S&S revenue, driven by USDC rewards and expected benefits from staking revenue [5]

Core Insights - Bitcoin's recent drop below $90,000 has negatively impacted nearly all investors, including Strategy, a major corporate Bitcoin holder [1][2] - Michael Saylor, the executive chairman of Strategy, remains confident, asserting that the company can endure an 80%-90% decline in Bitcoin value [2][6] Company Valuation Metrics - Strategy's mNAV (multiple to net asset value) has fallen below 1, a concerning indicator for Bitcoin treasury firms, as it suggests the company's enterprise value is less than its Bitcoin holdings [5][6] - Analysts indicate that an mNAV below 1 is unsustainable for companies in the Bitcoin treasury sector, raising questions about their operational viability [6] Market Dynamics and Volatility - Saylor emphasizes that Bitcoin's historical volatility is part of its cycle, noting that it has experienced 15 significant drawdowns in its 15-year history but has consistently reached new all-time highs [3] - The annualized volatility of Bitcoin has decreased from approximately 80% in 2020 to around 50% today, according to Saylor [3] Debt and Liquidation Concerns - Saylor reassures that Strategy's debts are convertible, which means that even in a worst-case scenario where Bitcoin's value drops to zero, lenders cannot force liquidation of the company's holdings [4] - Analysts caution that the real issue lies in whether Strategy can continue to operate with its stock trading below the value of its Bitcoin assets [4][6] mNAV Implications - An mNAV greater than 1 indicates that investors are willing to pay a premium for the company's Bitcoin, allowing for easier capital raising through stock sales [7] - An mNAV equal to 1 means the market values the company at parity with its Bitcoin holdings, while an mNAV below 1 suggests that investors perceive the company as worth less than its Bitcoin assets [7]

Market Overview - The cryptocurrency market capitalization has decreased by 0.8%, now at $4.23 trillion, with 75 of the top 100 coins experiencing price drops over the past 24 hours [1][2] - Total crypto trading volume is reported at $206 billion, which is higher than the previous few days [1] Price Movements - Bitcoin (BTC) has fallen by 0.5%, currently trading at $121,142, while Ethereum (ETH) has decreased by 1.9% to $4,332 [2][3] - Among the top 100 coins, the highest drop was recorded by Mantle (MNT) at 17.3%, now trading at $2.22, while Dogecoin (DOGE) is the only gainer, appreciating by 0.5% to $0.2481 [4] Market Sentiment and Volatility - Market sentiment remains mostly unchanged within the neutral zone, with many institutional participants maintaining exposure but avoiding significant portfolio expansion [2] - Increased anticipation of significant price movements is noted, with implied volatilities for Bitcoin reaching their highest levels in 30 days, driven by expectations of a 25 basis point rate cut by the US Federal Reserve [5] - A potential upward push in Bitcoin could trigger liquidations of short positions, possibly propelling BTC back toward $125,000 and beyond [5]

Core Viewpoint - Bragar Eagel & Squire, P.C. is investigating potential claims against Strategy Incorporated (NASDAQ:MSTR) due to a class action complaint alleging breaches of fiduciary duties by the board of directors during the specified class period [1][2]. Group 1: Legal Investigation - The law firm is encouraging long-term stockholders of Strategy who suffered losses between April 30, 2024, and April 4, 2025, to discuss their legal rights [1]. - A class action complaint was filed on May 16, 2025, concerning the alleged misleading statements made by the company's management regarding its business and operations [2]. Group 2: Allegations Against Management - The complaint claims that the anticipated profitability of Strategy's bitcoin-focused investment strategy was overstated [2]. - It is alleged that the risks associated with bitcoin's volatility and potential losses on digital assets were understated, leading to materially false and misleading public statements [2]. Group 3: Contact Information - Long-term stockholders with information or questions regarding the claims can contact the law firm directly via phone or email [3][6].