Black Swans
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Why AngloGold Ashanti Plunged Today
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-21 19:50
Core Viewpoint - Shares of AngloGold Ashanti experienced a significant decline of 10.2% due to a sharp drop in gold prices, which fell 5.3% in a single day, marking the largest decline since 2013 [1][7]. Group 1: Factors Influencing Gold Price Decline - The sell-off in gold prices appears to be driven by profit-taking after a period of overbought conditions [2][5]. - An increase in the value of the U.S. dollar has contributed to the decline, as a stronger dollar reduces the cost of purchasing gold [2]. - The end of the seasonal Diwali gold-buying period in India, the second-largest consumer of gold, may have also played a role in the price drop [3]. - Upcoming geopolitical events, such as the scheduled meeting between U.S. President Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping, could be influencing market sentiment and leading to a reduction in gold's safe-haven appeal [4]. Group 2: Market Context and Investment Implications - Gold has historically served as a hedge against geopolitical tensions and inflation, but the recent price pullback may present an opportunity for investors to consider adding gold stocks to their portfolios [7][8]. - Despite the recent downturn, gold's value is largely driven by market sentiment rather than industrial demand, suggesting that long-term investments in productive assets may outperform gold [8].
X @mert | helius.dev
mert | helius.dev· 2025-10-12 20:19
Market Dynamics - Crypto transforms information into money, accelerating financial flows [1] - Information spreads faster than verification, leading to fake news and impacting finance [1] - Financial flows now structurally outpace fundamentals due to the internet era [1] - Flows shape perception, influencing fundamentals in a reflexive loop, causing faster and more extreme market movements [1] - Markets are highly susceptible to new information [1] Solana's Vision - Solana aims to be the venue where the fastest information connection leads to trading [1] - Solana's vision is to enable financial information to spread globally simultaneously, achieving optimal price discovery [1] - Solana's architecture is designed to be a "sci-fi world computer" for financial information processing [1] Predictions - Black swan events will accelerate [1] - Solana's potential market capitalization is projected to reach trillions [1]
'There Will Be More Billion-Dollar-Plus Failures In Crypto Than In Any Other Industry In History,' Bitwise Investment Chief Says
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-07 01:00
Core Insights - Investing in cryptocurrency assets is likened to investing in early-stage startups, emphasizing the need for diversification and the potential for massive returns despite high failure rates [1][2] Group 1: Investment Landscape - The cryptocurrency industry is characterized by a high probability of failures due to the ambitious nature of its projects, with many existing projects, including Ethereum and Solana, at risk of failing [2][3] - Bitcoin is posited to have a valuation potential similar to Amazon, approximately $2.3 trillion, as it targets the $25 trillion gold market [3][4] Group 2: Market Potential - Blockchains like Ethereum and Solana aim to capture significant portions of the global financial system, which includes a payments industry that facilitated 3.4 trillion transactions worth $1.8 quadrillion [4] - The combined value of stock, bond, and real estate markets is estimated at $665 trillion, indicating vast market opportunities for decentralized platforms [4] Group 3: Valuation and Competition - Ethereum and Solana are valued at approximately $500 billion and $100 billion, respectively, due to their potential to capture major market shares as decentralized supercomputers [5] - Tether, a leading stablecoin issuer, is attempting to raise funds at a $500 billion valuation, positioning itself among the most valuable startups alongside OpenAI and SpaceX [5]