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Solana Leads In Adoption, But ADA's 5% Spike Steals The Show
Benzinga· 2025-12-08 19:07
Core Insights - Solana continues to lead in blockchain usage, particularly in decentralized exchange (DEX) activity, marking its 16th consecutive week as the leader in DEX volume [2] - Cardano experienced a 5% price increase, but this is viewed as a temporary relief rather than a sign of recovery, with underlying structural weaknesses still present [12][14] Group 1: Solana's Performance - Solana's dominance in DEX activity is highlighted, with significant investor interest following Forward Industries Inc.'s update on its Solana-focused treasury strategy [2] - Forward Industries holds over 6.9 million SOL, making it the largest corporate Solana treasury, with accumulation supported by a $1.65 billion private placement [3] - The company's validator operations generate a gross annual percentage yield (APY) between 6.82% and 7.01% before fees [5] Group 2: Solana's Price Action - Despite a 3% rebound, Solana's price struggles with heavy resistance, failing to break the $137–$141 resistance band, which is reinforced by the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement [8] - The broader trend remains defined by a falling diagonal from November's highs, with price movements lacking volume and quickly reversing [8] - A hold above $133 is crucial for a potential breakout, while a drop below this level could expose lower price points of $128 and possibly $122 [11] Group 3: Cardano's Price Action - Cardano's recent 5% rise towards $0.43 is seen as a temporary bounce, halting a steep downtrend but lacking structural strength for a sustained recovery [14] - The price remains below key moving averages, with resistance levels at $0.44 and $0.51, indicating ongoing challenges in breaking these zones [15] - Without a weekly close above $0.51, the market structure continues to favor sellers, with potential declines towards $0.34 and $0.28 if the $0.40 support is lost [16][17]
Long-Only Spread Trading Strategy Using Microsoft And Alphabet Stocks
Benzinga· 2025-11-06 15:47
Core Insights - The article presents a long-only spread trading strategy that focuses on buying the relatively weaker stock between two correlated assets, specifically Microsoft (MSFT) and Alphabet (GOOGL) [1][20] - This approach aims to capitalize on temporary price divergences while avoiding short selling, thus simplifying the trading process [2][21] Strategy Overview - The strategy identifies moments when MSFT and GOOGL, which typically move in tandem, diverge in price, allowing for potential profit when the weaker stock reverts to the mean [3][20] - A time series is created to analyze the spread between the closing prices of MSFT and GOOGL, serving as the basis for trading signals [4] Technical Analysis - Bollinger Bands are applied to the spread to detect extreme conditions, indicating when the stocks have deviated from their typical price relationship [5][6] - Entry points are established when the spread crosses below the lower Bollinger Band, signaling that MSFT is underperforming relative to GOOGL [9] Performance Metrics - The strategy was backtested from 2010, showing a total of 455 trades with a win rate of 63.3% [13][16] - The average profit per trade is approximately $88, which covers operational costs while providing a positive net margin [14] Profit Distribution - The strategy generated a net profit of $17,392 from trades on MSFT and $22,760 from trades on GOOGL, demonstrating balanced returns between the two stocks [15][17] - The results indicate that the strategy's logic is robust, regardless of which stock is used as the reference [15] Conclusion - The article concludes that a simplified approach to spread trading can yield stable and consistent returns, emphasizing the effectiveness of a straightforward trading mechanism [18][22]
Bitcoin Tops $110K Despite ETF Outflows, Analysts Warn of Rising Volatility, Here's What's Next for Investors (CORRECTED)
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-02 15:00
Core Insights - Bitcoin's price reached $100,000 despite a 3.7% decline, marking its worst performance since 2018, amid increased volatility and ETF outflows [1][2] - US spot Bitcoin ETFs experienced significant outflows of $488 million and $191 million over two days, indicating a shift in capital away from traditional Bitcoin financial products [2] - The market is currently fluctuating within a defined range, with traders looking for a breakout above $116,000 or below $107,000, as Bollinger Bands indicate extreme volatility levels [3] Market Sentiment - Investor sentiment remains cautious despite an anticipated interest rate cut from the US Federal Reserve, with concerns that a weekly close below $100,000 could confirm a downtrend [4] - The initial rally following the Fed's rate cut faded, leading to a more cautious trading environment, particularly reflected in the options market [4] Historical Trends - Historically, November has been a strong month for Bitcoin, averaging gains of over 42% since 2013, suggesting potential for upward movement in the near term [5]
X @Ash Crypto
Ash Crypto· 2025-11-01 19:04
Market Trend Analysis - The Others market cap chart's Bollinger Bands are tightening, a pattern preceding major altseasons [1] - Similar tightening phases in 2016 and 2020 led to explosive altcoin rallies [1] - History suggests this tightening could be the final shakeout before a massive breakout [1] - The industry needs $ETH to break $5,000 for increased confidence in altcoins [1]
X @1inch
1inch· 2025-10-28 13:02
Once you see these patterns, you’ll start noticing something else — how traders react around them.That’s where indicators help:RSI measures momentum.Moving Averages show long-term bias.Bollinger Bands tell you when price is getting tense.Use them to confirm, not to predict. ...
X @Raoul Pal
Raoul Pal· 2025-10-17 13:32
Market Analysis & Technical Indicators - Bitcoin is forming a broadening wedge pattern, typically a bullish setup [1] - The bull market is officially 2 standard deviations oversold on the log regression channel [2] - Bitcoin's Bollinger Bands have only been this tight three other times in its entire history, indicating a mega low-vol environment [2] - Bitcoin's Bollinger Bandwidth was less than or equal to 22, with extremely positive forward twelve-month returns historically [3] Volatility & Investment Strategy - Bitcoin is a 70-vol asset, requiring investors to handle high volatility [5] - Extending the time horizon is crucial to surviving the volatility, turning it into an opportunity [6] - Embracing volatility allows investors to add to their conviction [6] Outlook - The industry view remains that Q4 will be bullish [7]
X @Crypto Rover
Crypto Rover· 2025-09-27 14:03
BITCOIN BOLLINGER BANDS COMPRESSING IN LATE Q3.WHAT’S NEXT IS OBVIOUS. https://t.co/CRBYEe4ohJ ...
X @CoinMarketCap
CoinMarketCap· 2025-09-25 00:50
LATEST: 📊 Bitcoin's weekly Bollinger Bands recently compressed to the tightest they have ever been in history, a sign that Bitcoin price volatility and movement may be incoming. https://t.co/ga0BecalhI ...
X @Crypto Rover
Crypto Rover· 2025-09-19 16:03
Market Analysis - Bitcoin Bollinger Bands are heavily contracting, suggesting a potential for significant price movement [1] - Historically, similar contractions during bull markets have led to Bitcoin price explosions [1] Investment Implication - The analysis implies a potential investment opportunity based on historical patterns [1]
X @Crypto Rover
Crypto Rover· 2025-09-01 14:03
Bitcoin is sitting at the middle of the Bollinger Bands.A break below signals a deeper dump.A bounce sets up a move higher.Critical level to watch! https://t.co/lVb2rTTtaJ ...