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Roblox Stock Gains 31% in 6 Months: Is Holding Still the Right Move?
ZACKSยท 2025-04-07 16:10
Core Viewpoint - Roblox Corporation (RBLX) has demonstrated strong stock performance, gaining 30.8% over the past six months, contrasting with the decline in the Zacks Gaming industry and broader market indices [1][2]. Stock Performance - As of the latest close, RBLX stock was priced at $52.96, below its 52-week high of $75.74 and above its 52-week low of $29.55 [2]. - RBLX has outperformed competitors such as GDEV Inc., Accel Entertainment, and Flutter Entertainment, which saw declines of 70.6%, 16.5%, and 12.6% respectively over the same period [2]. Growth Factors - The company is experiencing steady growth, with bookings increasing by 24% year-over-year to $4,369.1 million in 2024, supported by a rise in daily unique paying users from 852,000 in 2023 to approximately 1,040,000 [5]. - Strategic investments have improved app stability, launch times, and user engagement, contributing to higher spending and growth in bookings per daily active user [6]. Advertising and Revenue Projections - Roblox is advancing in the advertising sector through partnerships, including a notable collaboration with Google to enhance immersive advertising formats [7]. - For 2025, the company anticipates revenue between $4,245 million and $4,345 million, reflecting an 18% to 21% year-over-year increase, with bookings projected between $5,200 million and $5,300 million, marking growth of 19% to 21% [8]. Profitability Concerns - Despite growth in user activity and bookings, the company reported a net loss of $940.6 million in 2024, with expectations for a wider loss in 2025 between $1,070 million and $995 million due to high R&D and marketing expenses [10]. Technical Indicators - The stock is trading above its 200-day simple moving average, indicating solid long-term momentum, but below its 50-day simple moving average, reflecting near-term volatility [13]. Valuation - RBLX is currently valued at a premium compared to the industry, with a forward 12-month price-to-sales ratio of 5.99X, significantly higher than the industry average of 2.33X [14]. Conclusion - The company shows strength in user engagement and bookings, supported by platform improvements and strategic partnerships, but faces challenges with widening losses and elevated expenses [16][17].