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Taylor Morrison(TMHC) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-02-11 14:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q4 2025, reported net income was $174 million or $1.76 per diluted share, while adjusted net income was $188 million or $1.91 per diluted share, reflecting a solid performance despite market challenges [25][26] - For the full year 2025, reported net income was $783 million or $7.77 per diluted share, with adjusted net income at $830 million or $8.24 per diluted share [25][26] - The company achieved a 13% return on equity and a 14% growth in book value per share [5] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company delivered nearly 13,000 homes in 2025 with an adjusted home closings gross margin of 23% [5] - In Q4, net orders totaled 2,499 homes, down 5% YoY, driven by a moderation in monthly absorption pace [25][26] - The average price of homes delivered in Q4 was $596,000, generating approximately $2 billion in home closings revenue [26] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Sales were strongest in the east and west regions, particularly in Florida, California, and Phoenix, while the central region, especially Texas, showed slower performance [11] - The company experienced a 7% YoY net order growth in its Esplanade resort lifestyle communities, while move-up sales saw a low single-digit decline [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company plans to accelerate new community openings in 2026, with over 100 new outlets expected, including more than 20 new Esplanade outlets [12][13] - A focus on the move-up and resort lifestyle segments is emphasized, with a strategic shift away from non-core submarkets that cater to price-sensitive buyers [15][16] - The company aims to maintain a controlled ratio of at least 65% for home-building lots to optimize capital efficiency [19] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed cautious optimism about sales success in Q4 2025 and early momentum in 2026, despite ongoing affordability constraints and elevated inventory levels [9][11] - The company anticipates that consumer confidence in the economic and political outlook will be critical for demand recovery [9] - Management highlighted the importance of understanding consumer needs and preferences, which has contributed to the company's reputation as a trusted builder [8] Other Important Information - The company repurchased 1.2 million shares for $71 million in Q4 2025, totaling 6.5 million shares for approximately $381 million for the full year [33] - The company ended Q4 with strong liquidity of approximately $1.8 billion, including $850 million in unrestricted cash [32] Q&A Session Summary Question: Long-term view on business mix and geographies - Management expects a slight decrease in the entry-level mix, focusing on core markets and avoiding fringe locations that attract different buyers [40][41] Question: Spec versus to-be-built mix - Management aims for a more balanced mix, potentially reaching a 50/50 split between spec and to-be-built homes over time, though achieving this in 2026 may be challenging [44][46] Question: Absorption rates in new communities - New communities are performing well, with strong interest and sales, indicating positive absorption trends compared to legacy communities [63] Question: Construction cost outlook - Management anticipates stable construction costs but is monitoring potential increases in lumber prices and other cost factors [54][56] Question: Incentives and gross margin guidance - Incentives were relatively flat from Q4 to Q1, with expectations for gross margins to improve gradually as the mix shifts towards to-be-built homes [60][62]