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Signal Says Pure Storage Stock Could Bounce by January
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-12-04 18:48
Core Viewpoint - Pure Storage Inc (NYSE:PSTG) experienced a significant post-earnings selloff, dropping 27.3% after reaching a record high of $100.59 on November 3, but is currently attempting to recover with a 1.5% increase to $69.90 [1] Group 1: Stock Performance and Historical Signals - The stock is currently within 3% of its 12-month moving average, having remained above it for the last five months, which historically indicates a bullish trend [2] - This signal has occurred five times in the past two decades, with the stock rising 80% of the time one month later, averaging a 7% gain, suggesting a potential recovery above $74 by early 2026 [2] Group 2: Short Interest and Options Market - Short interest in PSTG has increased by 40.9% over the past two reporting periods, with 9.29 million shares representing 3% of the stock's available float, indicating nearly three days' worth of buying power [3] - The stock's Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) is at 55%, which is higher than 31% of readings from the past year, suggesting that near-term option traders are anticipating relatively low volatility [3] Group 3: Volatility Score - PSTG's Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) is rated at 86 out of 100, indicating that the stock has consistently experienced higher-than-expected volatility over the past 12 months [4]
Fast Food Stock Flashing Surefire Bull Signal
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-06-04 18:09
Core Insights - Yum! Brands Inc shares are currently trading at $145.07, reflecting an 8.7% year-to-date increase, but facing resistance at the 20-day moving average and the $153 level since an 8.4% bear gap on April 4 [1] Price Movement and Technical Analysis - The stock is near a historically bullish trendline, which may assist in closing the bear gap [1] - The shares have been above the 126-day moving average in at least eight of the last ten trading days, spending 80% of the last two months above this trendline [2] - Historical data indicates that similar conditions in the past five years led to an average increase of 3.9% one month later, suggesting a potential return above $150 [2] Analyst Ratings and Market Sentiment - A series of bullish notes could provide support for Yum! Brands to overcome the overhead pressure at $140, with 20 out of 27 analysts currently rating the stock as a "hold" [6] Options Market Analysis - Options are currently priced affordably, with a Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) of 18%, indicating low volatility expectations [7] - The stock has historically outperformed these low volatility expectations, as reflected in a Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) of 83 out of 100 [7]
IBM Bull Signal Has Never Been Wrong
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-04-30 18:27
Core Viewpoint - IBM's stock is currently experiencing a slight increase, with a year-to-date rise of 9.7%, but is struggling to break through the $243 resistance level, despite showing historically bullish signals [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - IBM's stock is up 0.7% today, priced at $241.10 [1]. - The stock reached a record high in mid-March and has increased by 9.7% since the beginning of the year [1]. - The stock is currently within one standard deviation of its 126-day moving average, having spent at least 75% of the last six months above this average [2]. Group 2: Historical Trends - IBM has encountered its 126-day moving average trendline for the first time in at least eight of the last ten trading days [2]. - In the past three years, similar conditions have led to a 100% success rate of the stock being higher one month later, with an average gain of 10.9% [2]. Group 3: Analyst Ratings - Among the 20 analysts covering IBM, 12 have a "hold" or worse rating [4]. - The 12-month consensus price target for IBM is $249.97, representing a 3.8% premium over current stock levels [4].
Strong Bull Signal Flashing on Struggling Cloud Stock
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-04-09 17:38
Group 1 - Okta Inc (NASDAQ:OKTA) has experienced a significant pullback of 12.6% since the beginning of April, following a two-year high of $118.07 on March 24 [1] - The stock is currently interacting with its 126-day moving average, which is historically considered a bullish signal [1] - The stock has maintained a year-to-date gain of 16.9% and is in "oversold" territory with a 14-day relative strength index (RSI) of 15.2, indicating potential for a short-term bounce [4] Group 2 - For the first time in at least eight of the last ten trading days, Okta's stock is within one standard deviation of the 126-day trendline, after spending over 75% of the last six months above it [2] - Historical data shows that after similar occurrences in the past three years, Okta's stock was higher one month later 100% of the time, with an average gain of 28.7% [2]