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Syndax(SNDX) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-11-03 22:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Syndax reported total revenue of $45.9 million for Q3 2025, reflecting a strong 21% growth over the prior quarter [4] - Revyforge net revenue was $32 million in Q3, up 12% from the prior quarter, with a 25% increase in total prescriptions and new patient starts [5][11] - Nictimvo net revenue reached $45.8 million in Q3, marking a 27% increase over the prior quarter [9][19] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revyforge has become the standard of care for relapsed refractory KMT2A, with approximately 50% of usage in the second line [5] - Nictimvo is annualizing at nearly $200 million within the first eight months of launch, tracking in line with first-year sales of similar therapies [9] - The approval of Revyforge for relapsed refractory NPM1 mutated AML has expanded the addressable patient population significantly [6][15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The total addressable U.S. population for Revyforge has increased from approximately 2,000 to 6,500 patients with the new indication [15] - Nictimvo is targeting a market opportunity of approximately $2 billion, with 6,500 patients in the U.S. requiring three or more lines of therapy [21] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to expand Revyforge and Nictimvo into the frontline setting, unlocking a combined market opportunity exceeding $10 billion [10] - Syndax is focused on executing pivotal trials for menin inhibitors, with Evolve 2 being the first frontline trial to start enrolling patients [10][28] - The company is leveraging its strong commercial foundation and prescriber relationships to drive growth in both product lines [16][18] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in reaching profitability, citing strong performance from both Revyforge and Nictimvo [38] - The company anticipates that the average duration of therapy for KMT2A patients will increase to six to twelve months in 2026 as treatment patterns mature [14][44] - Management highlighted the positive feedback from healthcare providers regarding the efficacy and tolerability of both Revyforge and Nictimvo [20][22] Other Important Information - Syndax has a strong financial position with $456 million in cash equivalents and investments as of September 30, 2025 [38] - The company has received three FDA approvals and is positioned for sustained growth with its current product offerings [39] Q&A Session Summary Question: How has Revyforge's place in lines of therapy evolved? - Management noted that about 70% of Revyforge's business is in the second or third line, a shift from clinical trials where patients were typically in third or fourth line [41][42] Question: What factors will help narrow the duration of therapy range for 2026? - Management indicated that the mix of KMT2A and NPM1 patients will influence the duration of therapy, with expectations for longer durations as more patients return from transplant [44][45] Question: What is the maintenance restart rate for patients who started Revyforge during the launch? - The restart rate has increased to about 35%-40%, with expectations for further growth as more patients return from transplant [46][47] Question: How will revenue per prescription evolve with the inclusion of more NPM1 patients? - Management does not expect significant changes in average revenue per prescription as NPM1 patients are integrated into the prescribing base [49] Question: What has been the impact of the NCCN guidelines on the NPM1 launch? - Management reported strong awareness and excitement among healthcare providers, setting a positive trajectory for the NPM1 launch [54][56]