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Exact Sciences(EXAS) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-08-06 21:00
Financial Performance - Q2 2025 - Total revenue reached $811 million in Q2 2025, a 16% year-over-year increase[5] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q2 2025 was $138 million, up 26% year-over-year[5] - Core revenue also grew by 16% in Q2 2025[7] - Screening revenue increased by 18% from $532 million in Q2 2024 to $628 million in Q2 2025[8] - Precision Oncology core revenue increased by 9% from $165 million in Q2 2024 to $179 million in Q2 2025[8] Profitability and Cash Flow - Adjusted EBITDA margin improved to 17% in Q2 2025, an increase of 130 basis points[11] - Free cash flow was $46 million[11] Updated 2025 Guidance - Total revenue guidance updated to $3.13 billion - $3.17 billion, an increase of $55 million at the midpoint[13] - Screening revenue guidance updated to $2.44 billion - $2.47 billion, an increase of $48 million at the midpoint[13] - Adjusted EBITDA guidance updated to $455 million - $475 million, an increase of $25 million at the midpoint[13] Cost Savings Initiatives - A multi-year productivity program aims for $150 million in annual run-rate cost savings by 2026[16, 17]
HOLX vs. EXAS: Which Cancer Diagnostics Stock Should You Retain Now?
ZACKS· 2025-07-25 13:41
Industry Overview - The cancer diagnostics market is experiencing steady growth due to increasing demand for early cancer detection, technological advancements, and the importance of personalized medicine [1] - Companies like Hologic and Exact Sciences are gaining investor attention for their strong positioning in the cancer diagnostics space [1] Hologic Analysis - Hologic's growth is driven by a combination of organic and inorganic innovation, particularly in its Diagnostics division led by the Molecular Diagnostics unit [3] - The company holds nearly 80% of the U.S. market share in Breast Health with its 3D Genius mammography machine [4] - Hologic's Surgical division is expanding internationally, supported by market development efforts and acquisitions [5] - The company reported a 30% operating margin in Q2 of fiscal 2025, despite challenges such as tariff-related inventory cost increases [7] - Hologic's revenue outlook for China has been trimmed to reduce geopolitical risk exposure [6] Exact Sciences Analysis - Exact Sciences is undergoing a transformative phase in 2025, with its Cologuard CRC screening test gaining momentum [8] - The company is advancing its innovation pipeline, including the launch of Cologuard Plus and Oncodetect, which have secured Medicare coverage [10] - Exact Sciences reported a 61% year-over-year increase in adjusted EBITDA, supported by productivity and cost-cutting initiatives [11] - The company is focused on boosting free cash flow, although high debt levels remain a concern [12] Financial Projections - Hologic's fiscal 2025 EPS is estimated to improve by 2.7% to $4.19, with estimates trending downward in the last 90 days [13] - Exact Sciences has a consensus EPS estimate of 16 cents for 2025, reflecting a 169.6% improvement, with bullish trends in analyst estimates [14] Price Performance & Valuation - Over the past year, Hologic shares have decreased by 15.9%, while Exact Sciences shares have increased by 7.4% [15] - Hologic's forward price-to-sales ratio is 3.47X, lower than the industry average of 4.34X, while Exact Sciences' ratio is 2.76X [16] Conclusion - Hologic's diversified business model and strong balance sheet support its long-term growth outlook, despite potential economic pressures [18] - Exact Sciences is benefiting from Cologuard adoption and a strong innovation pipeline, making it a more appealing investment option at present [19]
DGX Stock Up on New Blood Test Development Deal With MD Anderson
ZACKS· 2025-06-17 13:40
Company Overview - Quest Diagnostics Inc. (DGX) has announced a collaboration with The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center to enhance cancer risk assessment and screening [1][5] - The company currently has a market capitalization of $20.12 billion [4] Collaboration Details - The partnership will focus on developing a laboratory-developed blood test based on circulating protein biomarkers linked to high cancer risk, including cancers such as colorectal, lung, breast, pancreatic, ovarian, liver, prostate, esophageal, and stomach [2][5] - Quest Diagnostics will utilize a developmental license for the Multi-Cancer Stratification Test (MCaST) technology developed by MD Anderson, which is based on extensive clinical research involving tens of thousands of individuals [5] Market Performance - Following the announcement, DGX shares increased by 2.6%, closing at $182.07, and have seen a total gain of 31.3% over the past year [3][10] - The company is expected to see an 8.6% growth in earnings from 2024 to 2025, with a historical earnings beat of 2% on average over the last four quarters [4] Industry Insights - The global cancer diagnostics market was valued at $109.6 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate of 6.1% through 2030, driven by rising cancer prevalence and advancements in diagnostic technologies [11] - Only 51% of U.S. adults reported having a routine medical appointment or cancer screening in the past year, indicating a significant opportunity for new screening methods [7] Future Prospects - If the blood test is successfully validated, Quest Diagnostics may commercialize it for providers in North America by 2026 [6]
Exact Sciences(EXAS) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-05-01 22:49
Financial Performance - Total revenue in 1Q25 reached $707 million, an 11% year-over-year increase[5] - Core revenue also grew by 11% in 1Q25[7] - Screening revenue increased by 14% from $475 million in 1Q24 to $540 million in 1Q25[8] - Precision Oncology core revenue increased by 4% from $161 million in 1Q24 to $167 million in 1Q25[8] - Adjusted EBITDA increased by $24 million, from $39 million in 1Q24 to $63 million in 1Q25[11] - Adjusted EBITDA margin improved by 280 basis points, from 6% in 1Q24 to 9% in 1Q25[11] Updated 2025 Guidance - Total revenue guidance updated to $3.070 - $3.120 billion, an increase of $40 million at the midpoint[13] - Screening revenue guidance updated to $2.390 - $2.425 billion, an increase of $38 million at the midpoint[13] - Precision Oncology revenue guidance updated to $680 - $695 million, an increase of $3 million at the midpoint[13] - Adjusted EBITDA guidance updated to $425 - $455 million, an increase of $15 million at the midpoint[13] Product Development and Commercial Progress - Customer engagement increased by approximately 30% year-over-year[16] - The number of ordering providers in 1Q25 exceeded 190,000, representing nearly a 10% year-over-year increase[17] - The company is making progress with multi-cancer early detection and upcoming milestones[20, 27, 30]