Catastrophe Modeling
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Looking for the Next Big Pop? Here’s Why Recursion Pharmaceuticals (RXRX) Could Do a Dead-Cat Bounce
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-25 13:15
Core Insights - Recursion Pharmaceuticals (RXRX) is currently rated as a 72% Strong Sell by Barchart's Technical Opinion indicator, indicating a bearish outlook for the stock [1] - RXRX stock has declined nearly 28% since the beginning of the year, reflecting broader uncertainties in the healthcare sector, which have also affected major pharmaceutical companies like Eli Lilly and Pfizer [2] - Over the past six months, RXRX has experienced a 25% decline, with its share price hovering just under five dollars, categorizing it as a penny stock [3] Market Dynamics - The short interest in RXRX stock is notably high at 31.55% of its float, suggesting that approximately two-thirds of publicly available shares are involved in short transactions [4] - The nature of short selling introduces a risk of a short squeeze, where a rapid increase in stock price could occur if short sellers are forced to cover their positions [5] Investment Considerations - Investors are advised to consider the potential for a spike in RXRX stock, emphasizing the importance of risk management and understanding the probabilities associated with significant losses [6]
Verisk Unveils First-of-Its-Kind SRCC Catastrophe Model for the U.S. to Quantify Political Violence Risks
Globenewswire· 2025-04-30 09:15
Core Insights - The insurance industry has faced over USD 10 billion in insured losses from strikes, riots, and civil commotion (SRCC) since 2010, significantly higher than the less than USD 1 billion attributed to terrorism [1][2] - Verisk has introduced the first catastrophe model specifically for SRCC events in the U.S. to help insurers quantify financial impacts and enhance risk management strategies [1][4] Group 1: Financial Impact of SRCC Events - Since 2010, global insured losses from SRCC events exceed USD 10 billion, while terrorism-related losses are below USD 1 billion [2] - In the last six years, five SRCC events have each caused over USD 1 billion in global insured losses [2] - The U.S. has experienced approximately USD 3 billion in insured losses from SRCC events [2] Group 2: Verisk's SRCC Model - The SRCC Model features a 500,000-year stochastic catalog that assesses the frequency and severity of unrest across every ZIP Code in the U.S. [3] - The model evaluates key risk drivers, including social and economic trends, political factors, and historical protest patterns [3] - It aims to provide enhanced insights for exposure management and catastrophe modeling, moving beyond traditional historical data [3] Group 3: Underwriting and Risk Management - Verisk's SRCC Model is designed to empower insurers to improve underwriting strategies and make informed decisions regarding pricing, capital allocation, and risk management [4] - The model combines nearly 40 years of catastrophe modeling expertise with over 15 years of experience in quantifying political violence [4] - It allows insurers to estimate potential insured losses, create robust underwriting guidelines, and assess tail risk through plausible extreme scenarios [6]