The MicroStrategy stock started the post-President’s Day session on a weak note. MSTR closed nearly 4% lower compared to its Feb. 13 (last Friday's) close, reflecting renewed selling pressure despite positive corporate news. This decline comes even after Strategy, previously MicroStrategy, added more Bitcoin, lowering its average purchase cost. However, charts now show that this latest BTC average drop didn't mean much for the immediate fate of the MSTR. A much larger downside risk is forming beneath the ...

Core Insights - BitMine Immersion Technologies is facing significant financial challenges as its paper losses on Ethereum holdings deepen, with a total invested capital of nearly $15 billion and a current portfolio value of about $7.7 billion, indicating a nearly 49% loss in investment value [1][2][6] Investment Performance - The current price of Ethereum is approximately $1,950, while BitMine's realized cost basis is around $3,850, meaning most of its holdings are significantly underwater [2][6] - The company's biggest weakness is its diminishing margin of safety, as the market price remains far below the accumulated cost basis, pressuring the company to reduce its exposure [3] Technical Analysis - A hidden bearish divergence has formed, where BitMine's stock price has created lower highs while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has made higher highs, indicating weakening momentum [7] - Following this divergence, selling pressure resumed, and despite a 26% rebound from January lows, the rally could not be sustained, suggesting a potential pullback [8] Market Sentiment - The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicator shows early signs of hesitation among large investors, with values below zero indicating selling pressure [9] - Although CMF trended upward between late November and early February, it failed to break above its falling trendline during the recent rebound, indicating a lack of strong support from large investors [10] Moving Averages - The 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is nearing the 200-day EMA, which may signal an early trend shift, adding to the caution regarding BitMine's stock performance [11]

Core Viewpoint - Hedera's HBAR token has experienced significant downward pressure, falling nearly 35% since mid-January and over 40% from its November highs, with weak price momentum persisting [1]. Price Movement and Technical Indicators - Despite the recent sell-off, HBAR's price structure remains constructive, moving within a falling wedge pattern since late October 2025, indicating that selling pressure may be weakening [3]. - The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) has shown a divergence since late December, with HBAR's price declining while CMF has trended higher, suggesting continued capital inflow despite falling prices [4]. - The Money Flow Index (MFI) indicates that traders have been actively buying dips, with MFI recently curling upward and currently near 41, indicating potential for a bullish divergence if it surpasses 54 [7]. Market Sentiment and Volume Analysis - CMF and MFI suggest that dip buyers remain active, with capital not fully exiting the market, indicating ongoing accumulation within the falling wedge [8]. - However, the On-Balance Volume (OBV) indicator shows weakening, which raises concerns about volume support for price trends, indicating a cautious outlook despite positive money flow indicators [9].

Core Viewpoint - BitMine Immersion Technologies (BMNR) is experiencing conflicting signals, with ongoing expansion in Ethereum staking operations juxtaposed against a weakening stock price structure and bearish chart patterns [1] Price Performance - BMNR has declined approximately 21% over the past six months, despite a recent short-term bounce of about 4% in the last five days [1] - The stock is forming a bearish head-and-shoulders pattern, indicating that buyers are losing control [2] Technical Indicators - BMNR is trading below all major exponential moving averages, with the 20-day EMA being the last short-term support that has now been lost [3] - The downward-sloping neckline of the head-and-shoulders pattern suggests a potential for a deeper 33% decline if broken, which could extend the broader six-month downtrend [4] Staking Operations - The ongoing expansion of Ethereum staking is the primary bullish factor for BMNR, as it locks tokens and generates recurring yield, indicating long-term commitment [5] - Despite the bearish chart structure, selling pressure has not intensified, suggesting some buyers are responding to the positive narrative surrounding staking [5] Capital Flow Indicators - Capital flow indicators, such as Chaikin Money Flow, indicate that accumulation pressure is building, even as BMNR's stock price remains weak [6]

Core Insights - Zcash (ZEC) has experienced a significant price increase of 13% in the last 24 hours, approaching the $500 mark, indicating improved holder confidence and positive technical momentum [1][6]. Market Sentiment - Momentum indicators show a shift in sentiment for Zcash, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) rising above the neutral 50.0 level, placing ZEC among a select group of altcoins exhibiting bullish momentum [2][3]. - An RSI above 50.0 suggests that buyers are gaining control, which may help Zcash withstand short-term bearish pressures affecting the broader market [3]. Technical Indicators - The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) is trending higher, indicating a slowdown in capital outflows, although it remains below the zero line, suggesting that selling pressure is easing [4]. - A reduction in outflows during recovery phases is significant; if market conditions remain stable, this could lead to net inflows, confirming improved conviction and providing necessary liquidity for ZEC's upward movement [5]. Price Analysis - Zcash is currently priced around $438, testing the $442 resistance zone, which is critical for confirming the continuation of the rally [6]. - If positive momentum indicators and stable capital flows persist, ZEC could potentially reach $500, requiring only a 13.8% increase from current levels [7]. - However, if the resistance at $442 holds, ZEC may retrace towards the $403 support level, with a breakdown below that potentially leading to a deeper correction towards $370 [8].

Core Insights - Monad's recent price surge of over 51% from December 1 to 3 has lost momentum, forming a double top pattern that indicates potential exhaustion in buying pressure [1][3] - The decline in support and liquidity is pushing Monad (MON) towards lows not seen since its listing day [2] Price Action and Indicators - The formation of a double top occurred as Monad's price approached the $0.033 level twice, both times being rejected, which confirms the bearish pattern [3] - The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicator, which tracks money entering or leaving the asset, has failed to rise above zero, indicating a lack of confidence from large spot buyers [3][4] Market Sentiment - The CMF has broken below its rising trendline, suggesting that demand from large wallets is weakening [4] - The Smart Money Index, which typically indicates early participation during corrections, is showing hesitation, reflecting a decline in rebound confidence among smart money traders [5] Derivative Market Dynamics - The derivatives market for Monad is experiencing significant pressure, with major trading groups reducing their perpetual futures exposure sharply over the past week [8] - The top 100 addresses have cut their positions by 98%, while smart-money perpetual traders have reduced exposure by 40.87%, and public-figure traders have decreased their positions by 80.52% [9] - Whales have exited 97.99% of their positions, indicating a strong bearish sentiment as remaining positions are mostly net short [10]

Core Insights - Hedera's HBAR has experienced a significant price drop of over 18%, falling to $0.130 after breaking below a crucial support level that had been in place for more than a month [1][6]. - The correlation between HBAR and Bitcoin is currently at 0.97, indicating that HBAR is closely mirroring Bitcoin's price movements [2][3]. - Macro momentum indicators, such as the Chaikin Money Flow, are at an eight-month low, suggesting heavy capital outflows from HBAR [4][5]. Price Analysis - HBAR's price decline has exposed it to deeper losses and increased volatility, with potential further drops to $0.120 and possibly $0.110 if bearish sentiment continues [6][7]. - A recovery attempt for HBAR would require a move above $0.133, with a breakthrough past $0.145 potentially restoring investor confidence and invalidating the current bearish outlook [8].

Core Insights - Aster has experienced an 8% decline in the past 24 hours but maintains a broader uptrend that has persisted for nearly three weeks [1] - The negative correlation with Bitcoin, currently at -0.58, allows Aster to rise even as the broader market weakens [2][3] - Macro momentum indicators, such as the Chaikin Money Flow, show increasing capital inflows, indicating renewed investor confidence [5] Price Dynamics - Aster is currently trading at $1.25, above the key support level of $1.20 and just below the resistance at $1.28 [7] - The altcoin's uptrend is expected to continue, with potential price targets of $1.39 and $1.50 if bullish conditions persist [8] - A potential profit-taking scenario could lead to a loss of the $1.20 support, with a breakdown possibly pushing the price down to $1.07 [9]

Core Insights - Pi Coin's price has been volatile, struggling to gain stable momentum as investors await clearer direction [1] - Despite gradual improvements in inflows, Pi Coin has not shown sufficient strength for a sustained price recovery [1] Market Indicators - The Squeeze Momentum Indicator indicates a potential major price move is imminent, but also shows a shift from bullish to bearish momentum, posing downside risks [2] - Confirmation of bearish conditions would occur if the histogram transitions to red bars, indicating selling pressure [3] - The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) shows a modest uptick, suggesting improving inflows, but remains below the zero line, indicating stronger outflows [4] - A positive CMF crossing the zero line would signify growing accumulation by investors, essential for price recovery [5] Price Levels - Pi Coin is currently trading at $0.228, just below the $0.229 resistance level, while holding above the crucial $0.217 support [6] - The altcoin is expected to consolidate between $0.229 and $0.217 in the near term, with a sharp breakdown below support unlikely unless market sentiment turns bearish [7] - Strengthened investor participation and inflows could push Pi Coin past the $0.229 resistance, potentially leading to a rally towards $0.246 [8]

Core Insights - ChainOpera's (COAI) price has surged over 50% in the last 24 hours, indicating strong trader interest following its breakout on the 4-hour chart [1] - The breakout from a symmetrical triangle pattern suggests potential for continued upward movement, although a short-term pullback may occur [2] - Large wallets have resumed accumulation of COAI, with a significant threshold at a CMF crossing above 0.06 indicating renewed interest from whale investors [3] Market Dynamics - The Money Flow Index (MFI) has been increasing since October 14, reflecting active retail participation, but indicates that buying is primarily occurring during price strength rather than dips [4] - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows a bearish divergence, suggesting slowing momentum despite COAI's price making higher highs, which could lead to a brief correction [5][6] Price Levels and Projections - COAI is currently trading near $23, with resistance levels identified at $26, $31, and $38; a daily close above $31 would confirm a continuation pattern towards a potential retest of the previous all-time high near $45 [7] - Support levels are positioned at $21 and $15; a rebound from these levels would indicate continued buyer control, while a drop below $15 could negate recent gains [8]