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China's tech shock threatens the U.S. AI monopoly and is 'just getting started'
CNBC· 2026-02-16 12:30
Core Insights - China's rapid advancements in AI are challenging U.S. dominance, with analysts predicting a significant tech shock is underway [1][2] - The emergence of a "China tech sphere" could attract developing economies due to lower costs compared to U.S. and European alternatives [7][8] Industry Developments - China has launched a national AI fund worth 60.06 billion yuan ($8.69 billion) and an initiative called "AI+" to integrate AI across various sectors [4] - The country is leveraging its supply chain and low production costs to enhance its tech capabilities, particularly in AI and electric vehicles [3][6] Competitive Landscape - Huawei is narrowing the gap with U.S. chipmakers like Nvidia by utilizing homegrown chips and cheaper energy sources for AI model training [6] - U.S. hyperscalers, including Amazon and Microsoft, are projected to spend up to $700 billion on AI this year, raising concerns about the return on investment [10][12] Market Implications - The choice for developing economies may lean towards affordable Chinese technology, potentially leading to a global shift towards a Chinese tech ecosystem in the next 5 to 10 years [8][9] - There is growing nervousness regarding U.S. tech exceptionalism, especially following significant market cap losses in the U.S. software sector [11][12]