Commodity demand
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BHP ‘quite sure’ iron ore demand will stay solid in face of forecast China slowdown
The Market Online· 2025-10-20 23:56
Core Viewpoint - BHP Group remains optimistic about its iron ore sales despite challenges posed by China's ban on local steelmakers purchasing from the company, indicating a resilient demand for its key commodity this year [1][3]. Group 1: Company Performance - BHP reported a record amount of iron ore mined over the last three months, with full-year production guidance unchanged at 258 million to 269 million tonnes [2][6]. - Sales figures have remained consistent with the previous year, highlighted by a 5% increase in sales of higher-value lump iron ore [6]. - Total copper production increased by 4% to 494,000 tonnes, with full-year guidance also remaining at two million tonnes [6]. Group 2: Market Reaction - Following the news of the China iron ore boycott, BHP's stock initially dropped below $42 but has since recovered, climbing by 5.2% in the last trading week [4][5]. - Investors appear to respond positively to BHP's stance on the situation with China, interpreting the company's comments as a sign of confidence [5]. Group 3: Economic Outlook - BHP's chief, Mike Henry, noted that while a deceleration in growth is expected in the second half of 2025, China's GDP growth is still projected at 5% for the year [4]. - Overall macroeconomic signals for commodity demand are described as resilient, with global growth forecasts improving [3].
BHP (ASX:BHP) share price in focus on September quarter production
Rask Media· 2025-10-20 23:52
Core Viewpoint - BHP Group Ltd reported its production results for the September 2025 quarter, showing mixed performance across its key commodities, which has positively impacted its share price. Production Performance - BHP produced 493.6kt of copper, a decline of 4% quarter on quarter but an increase of 4% year on year, with record concentrator throughput at Escondida [2] - Iron ore production was 64.1mt, down 9% quarter on quarter and down 1% year on year, with the WAIO division achieving record material mined and completing infrastructure upgrades ahead of schedule [3] - Steelmaking coal production reached 4.9mt, down 5% quarter on quarter but up 8% year on year, attributed to strong mining rates at Broadmeadow [4] - Energy coal production was 3.5mt, representing a 13% decline quarter on quarter and a 4% decline year on year [4] Growth Projects - The Jansen potash project in Canada is progressing, with stage 1 at 73% completion and expected to begin production in 2027, while stage 2 is 13% complete [5] - Approval for the environmental impact declaration for the Laguna Seca expansion at Escondida has been received, with plans for a new concentrator submission in the second half of FY26 [6] Market Outlook - The CEO indicated resilient macro-economic signals for commodity demand, with global growth forecasts improving, and expects GDP growth of approximately 5% in China for the year [7] - BHP is on track to meet full-year guidance and is making progress on its growth pipeline across Australia and the Americas [8]