Connected and Autonomous Vehicles (CAVs)

Search documents
Investor Reaction To Predictable Mobileye Earnings Was Negative: Analyst
Benzingaยท 2025-07-25 18:34
Core Insights - Mobileye Global reported a fiscal second-quarter 2025 revenue of $506 million, a 15% year-on-year increase, surpassing analyst expectations of $463.26 million, with adjusted EPS of 13 cents exceeding the consensus estimate of 9 cents [1][3] - The company raised its fiscal 2025 revenue outlook to a range of $1.765 billion to $1.885 billion, up from the previous range of $1.690 billion to $1.810 billion, aligning closely with the analyst consensus estimate of $1.770 billion [2] Financial Performance - Shipments of approximately 9.7 million EyeQ units exceeded the analyst's estimate of 9 million, driven by strong demand from OEMs, particularly in China [6] - Adjusted gross margin for the quarter was 68.6%, slightly above the analyst's estimate of 68.4% and close to the Street's expectation of 68.8% [6] - Operating expenses were lower than anticipated at $241 million, resulting in adjusted operating income of $106 million, surpassing both expectations and the preliminary guidance [6] Future Outlook - Management emphasized 2027 as a critical year for revenue acceleration, driven by the adoption of SuperVision and initial deployments of Connected and Autonomous Vehicles (CAVs) [7] - Full-scale Drive deployments are planned for late 2026 across multiple U.S. and European cities, with the CAV business expected to contribute $150 million in 2027 revenue [8] - The company anticipates ADAS revenue could reach around $2 billion in 2027, which is considered a conservative estimate [8] Market Position and Partnerships - Mobileye's partnerships with major companies such as Volkswagen, Uber, and Lyft are expected to enhance its market position in the autonomous driving sector [9] - The company is transitioning to full production hardware for the ID. Buzz robotaxi, with teleoperations expected to begin in 2025 and driverless service planned for 2026 [9] Analyst Commentary - Needham analyst Quinn Bolton reiterated a buy rating on Mobileye with a price target of $18, despite the stock's decline following the earnings report [3][11] - Bolton noted that while management's tone was cautious, there is potential upside in fourth-quarter revenue and improving margin visibility, supporting a strong long-term growth trajectory for Mobileye [11]