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ALAB vs. APH: Which Connectivity Stock Is the Better Bet Today?
ZACKS· 2025-10-08 18:31
Core Insights - Astera Labs (ALAB) and Amphenol (APH) are significant players in the connectivity and data center infrastructure sectors, with ALAB focusing on semiconductor-based solutions for cloud and AI, while APH specializes in interconnect and sensor technologies across various industries [1][2] Group 1: Astera Labs (ALAB) - ALAB is expanding its portfolio to meet the increasing demands for AI infrastructure and connectivity solutions, particularly benefiting from strong demand for its PCIe solutions [3][4] - The company anticipates accelerated shipments of Scorpio P-Series switches and Aries 6 retimers, with Scorpio revenues expected to exceed 10% of total revenues in 2025, becoming the largest product line for ALAB in the coming years [5] - Despite a strong portfolio, ALAB faces challenges from macroeconomic uncertainties and stiff competition [11] Group 2: Amphenol (APH) - APH benefits from a diversified business model, with strong demand for high-speed and power interconnect products, which are essential for next-generation IT systems [6][8] - The company launched its UQD and UQDB liquid cooling connector series in June 2025, aimed at enhancing thermal management in high-reliability systems like AI data centers [7] - APH's order growth surged by 36% year-over-year to $5.523 billion, resulting in a book-to-bill ratio of 0.98:1 in Q2 2025, driven by its expanding portfolio [8] Group 3: Stock Performance and Valuation - Year-to-date, ALAB and APH shares have increased by 60.2% and 79.3%, respectively, with APH's outperformance attributed to its robust and diversified portfolio [9][10] - Valuation metrics indicate that both ALAB and APH shares are currently overvalued, with ALAB trading at a forward Price/Sales ratio of 37.34X compared to APH's 6.56X [14] - Earnings estimates for 2025 show ALAB's expected earnings at $1.58 per share (an 88.10% year-over-year rise) and APH's at $3.03 per share (a 60.32% year-over-year rise) [16] Group 4: Conclusion - Both ALAB and APH are well-positioned to capitalize on the growing connectivity and data center infrastructure market, but APH is viewed as the stronger investment due to its diversified revenue streams and strong order growth [17]
Credo's Q1 Earnings and Sales Surpass Estimates, Rise Y/Y, Stock Up
ZACKS· 2025-09-04 15:51
Core Insights - Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd (CRDO) reported first-quarter fiscal 2026 adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of 52 cents, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 48.6% and significantly up from 4 cents in the prior-year quarter [1][8] - Revenues surged 273.6% year over year to $223.1 million, driven primarily by strong growth in the product business, and also surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 17.4% [1][8] Revenue and Growth - The product business sales increased 278.6% year over year to $217.1 million, while IP license sales rose 151.8% year over year to $6 million [3] - Each of the company's top three customers contributed over 10% to revenues, indicating a strong customer base with expectations for continued expansion [3][8] - The company anticipates sustained revenue growth due to strategic partnerships with hyperscalers and rising market demand for reliable, power-efficient connectivity solutions [2] Profitability and Expenses - Non-GAAP gross profit reached $150.7 million, compared to $37.6 million in the same period last year, with a non-GAAP gross margin expansion of 470 basis points to 67.6% [4] - Total non-GAAP operating expenses increased 54.1% year over year to $54.5 million, with research and development expenses surging 72.5% to $52.5 million [4][5] Cash Flow and Balance Sheet - As of August 2, 2025, CRDO had $479.6 million in cash and cash equivalents and short-term investments, up from $431.3 million as of May 3, 2025 [6] - The company generated cash flow from operating activities of $54.2 million in the first quarter, with free cash flow totaling $51.3 million [7] Future Outlook - For the second quarter of fiscal 2026, revenues are expected to range between $230 million and $240 million, with GAAP gross margin projected between 63.5% and 65.5% [9] - For fiscal 2026, the company anticipates mid-single-digit sequential revenue growth, resulting in approximately 120% year-over-year growth, with non-GAAP operating expenses expected to rise by less than 50% year over year [10] Stock Performance - CRDO shares have increased by 368.2% over the past year, significantly outperforming the Zacks Electronics-Semiconductors industry's growth of 46.8% [11]
Credo Technology (CRDO) - 2026 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-09-03 22:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported revenue of $223 million, an increase of 31% sequentially and 274% year over year [5][19] - Non-GAAP gross margin was 67.6%, with non-GAAP net income reaching nearly $100 million [5][19] - Non-GAAP operating income was $96.2 million, up from $62.5 million in the previous quarter, reflecting strong operational leverage [21] - Non-GAAP net margin was 44.1%, indicating significant leverage in the business [21][22] - Cash flow from operations was $54.2 million, with a slight decrease due to increases in working capital [22][23] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The product business generated $217.1 million in revenue, up 31% sequentially and 279% year over year [19] - The AEC product line continued to grow, achieving record revenue levels [19][20] - The company expects continued diversification in its customer base, with three to four customers projected to exceed 10% of revenue in upcoming quarters [20][25] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The demand for high-speed connectivity solutions is driven by investments in AI infrastructure by hyperscalers and data center operators [6][17] - The company anticipates significant year-over-year growth based on customer forecasts, with a focus on expanding its market presence [9][10] - The optical market is expected to double revenue in fiscal 2026, with strong momentum in optical DSP solutions [12][13] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on delivering innovative connectivity solutions that enhance reliability, energy efficiency, and performance [8][17] - A strategic emphasis is placed on diversifying product offerings and customer engagements, particularly in the AEC and optical markets [14][17] - The company aims to leverage its unique position in the industry to capitalize on growth opportunities in AI-driven infrastructure [17][18] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the growth potential driven by evolving network architectures and the demand for innovative connectivity solutions [17][18] - The company is well-capitalized to invest in growth opportunities while maintaining a substantial cash buffer [23] - Management highlighted the importance of reliability and power efficiency as key drivers for customer adoption of AECs [11][70] Other Important Information - The company expects revenue for Q2 to be between $230 million and $240 million, with a non-GAAP gross margin range of 64% to 66% [24][25] - The company is actively pursuing additional system-level opportunities in both copper and optical connectivity solutions [14][17] Q&A Session Summary Question: Adoption of AECs by new hyperscalers - Management confirmed that recent ramps have been at 100 gig per lane, with multiple programs in flight across hyperscalers [29][30] Question: Competitive advantages of AECs - Management believes AECs offer significant advantages for both inter rack and rack to rack applications, particularly as the market transitions to higher speeds [32][34] Question: Market size and cannibalization of traditional solutions - Management indicated that the AEC market is still in early stages and is expanding, with potential to replace both copper and optical solutions [38][42] Question: Future growth opportunities - Management sees multiple growth pillars driven by AI and connectivity bottlenecks, with significant investments in R&D for optical projects [46][50] Question: Customer concentration and growth drivers - Management expects the largest customer to remain a significant growth driver, with diversification across additional hyperscalers [73][74] Question: Impact of optical supply constraints on AEC business - Management believes that supply constraints in optical will not affect the AEC business, as customers will choose AECs based on their reliability and performance [78][82] Question: Upcoming customer engagements - Management is optimistic about the potential for the fifth hyperscaler to become a 10% customer, with ongoing engagements with major GPU manufacturers [84][86]
Credo Technology (CRDO) - 2026 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-09-03 22:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported Q1 revenue of $223 million, representing a 31% sequential increase and a 274% year-over-year increase [4][18] - Non-GAAP gross margin was 67.6%, with non-GAAP net income reaching nearly $100 million [4][20] - Non-GAAP operating income was $96.2 million, up from $62.5 million in the previous quarter, reflecting strong operational leverage [20] - Cash flow from operations was $54.2 million, with a slight decrease attributed to increases in working capital [21] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The product business generated $217.1 million in revenue, up 31% sequentially and 279% year-over-year [18] - The AEC product line achieved record revenue levels, continuing robust growth driven by a diverse customer base [18][19] - The optical business is on track to double revenue in fiscal 2026, with strong momentum in DSP solutions [11][12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company noted significant demand from hyperscalers and data center operators, particularly in AI-driven infrastructure [5][16] - The adoption of AECs is expanding, with increasing interest in both inter-rack and rack-to-rack solutions [10][71] - The market for AECs is expected to grow significantly, with the potential for copper to replace optical connections in certain applications [42][71] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on innovation in high-speed connectivity solutions, leveraging strategic partnerships with hyperscalers [5][6] - A three-tiered innovation framework is being employed to enhance product offerings and customer engagement [5][11] - The company is prioritizing optical solutions as a key part of its product roadmap, anticipating a growing total addressable market (TAM) [12][13] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about continued growth opportunities driven by evolving network architectures and AI infrastructure demands [16][17] - The company expects to see diversification in customer base and revenue sources, with additional hyperscalers ramping up [19][23] - Future growth is anticipated to be supported by advancements in both AEC and optical technologies [46][49] Other Important Information - The company ended the quarter with cash and equivalents of $479.6 million, providing a strong capital position for future investments [21] - Inventory levels increased to $116.7 million, reflecting ongoing demand and production scaling [22] Q&A Session Summary Question: Adoption of AECs by new hyperscalers - Management confirmed that recent ramps have been at 100 gig per lane, with multiple programs in flight across customers [26][27] Question: Competitive advantages of AECs - Management believes AECs offer significant advantages for both inter-rack and rack-to-rack applications, particularly as the market shifts to higher speeds [29][30] Question: Market size and cannibalization of traditional solutions - Management indicated that the AEC market is still in early stages, with significant growth potential as it replaces passive copper cables [36][40] Question: Future opportunities beyond AECs - Management highlighted ongoing investments in optical projects and the potential for system-level opportunities in various protocols [46][49] Question: Customer concentration and growth drivers - Management noted that the largest customer will continue to be a significant growth driver, with expectations for diversification across the customer base [72][74] Question: Impact of optical supply constraints on AEC business - Management stated that supply constraints in optical will not affect the AEC business, as customers will choose AECs based on their reliability and performance [78][80] Question: Progress with the fourth hyperscaler - Management confirmed that the fourth hyperscaler is ramping quickly, with expectations for it to become a 10% customer by the end of the fiscal year [82][84]