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DAVE vs. SEZL: Which Fintech Stock Is Poised Well for Growth Now?
ZACKSยท 2025-09-25 18:31
Core Insights - Both DAVE and Sezzle are prominent fintech companies focusing on consumer payments and banking alternatives, with DAVE specializing in cash advances and Sezzle offering interest-free installment plans [1] Sezzle Analysis - Sezzle's financial performance in Q2 2025 showed a record year-over-year gross merchandise volume (GMV) increase of 74.2% to $927 million, leading to a 76.4% year-over-year revenue growth [3][10] - The rise in GMV was supported by a 13.7% sequential increase in Monthly On-Demand & Subscribers (MODS) and a 62.6% year-over-year increase in transactions [3] - Sezzle's marketing expenditure surged by 780% year-over-year, resulting in a 116.1% increase in operating income and a 52% growth in monthly active users [5] - The launch of Sezzle Balance has enhanced user engagement and diversified revenue streams, indicating a positive growth outlook [6] - The consensus estimate for Sezzle's 2025 sales is $442.1 million, reflecting a 63.1% year-over-year increase, with earnings expected to rise by 77.7% to $3.27 per share [13] DAVE Analysis - DAVE's membership base grew by 722,000 in Q2 2025, leading to a 16% year-over-year increase in monthly transacting members [7] - The company reported a 64% year-over-year revenue increase, with adjusted EBITDA rising 236% to $50.9 million [8][10] - ExtraCash originations increased by 27% year-over-year, although the 28-day delinquency rate rose to 2.4%, up 900 basis points from the previous year [9] - The consensus estimate for DAVE's 2025 sales is $511.9 million, indicating a 47.5% year-over-year growth, with earnings projected to increase by 98.3% to $10.39 per share [12] Valuation Comparison - Sezzle is trading at a forward price/earnings ratio of 21.56X, slightly below its 12-month median of 22.59X, suggesting it is undervalued [14] - DAVE's forward price/earnings ratio is 19.48X, significantly lower than its 12-month median of 30.08X, indicating a discounted valuation compared to Sezzle [14] Market Outlook - Sezzle's strong GMV growth and user engagement metrics support a positive growth narrative, making it a buy opportunity [16][17] - DAVE faces challenges from rising credit default risks and intense competition, which may hinder its growth trajectory [18]