The Budget balances debt-to-GDP reduction with slow fiscal consolidation and support for growth through both cyclical and structural measures. We remain constructive on Indian equities – Overweight Financials, Consumer Discretionary and Industrials. F2027 Budget presented today: The Budget balances debt to GDP reduction with slow paced fiscal consolidation and support for growth through cyclical and structural measures. It targets a fiscal deficit of 4.3% of GDP for F27 (MSe: 4.2% of GDP), in line with a ce ...

Core Insights - Understanding the distinction between cyclical growth and secular growth is crucial for successful investing, as it helps identify the underlying drivers of a business's performance [2] Group 1: Secular Growth - Secular growth refers to the long-term, persistent increase in demand for a company's products or services, independent of economic cycles [2] - Companies that exhibit secular growth often benefit from structural changes in the market, such as technological advancements or demographic shifts [2] Group 2: Cyclical Growth - Cyclical growth is characterized by fluctuations in demand that align with the broader economic cycle, leading to periods of expansion and contraction [2] - Investors need to be aware of these cycles to make informed decisions about timing and investment strategies [2]

Are you trying to figure this one out, Ed. I mean, core was a bit hot. Headline was a bit cool.Why does so many people have so much more confidence in a rate cut. The fear was that the the Fed's fear was going to come to fruition, that tariffs were going to start really showing up in the inflation data. So, while inflation has ticked a little bit higher, um it it's not to the point where if the Fed's going to take a balanced view of looking at the labor market and the inflation data, that's going to prevent ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an Overweight (OW) rating for Sany Heavy Industry, with a price target of Rmb25.00 set for December 31, 2026 [4][10]. Core Insights - Sany Heavy Industry is experiencing robust performance in both domestic and international markets, with domestic demand remaining resilient despite fluctuations [2][5]. - The company is strategically focusing on medium and large excavators to enhance profitability, while also maintaining market share through competitive pricing [2][6]. - Exports are a significant growth driver, with successful market share expansion in Southeast Asia and Africa, despite challenges in regions like Russia and the Middle East [2][7]. - The mining equipment segment presents substantial opportunities, particularly for large excavators linked to commodity prices, with Sany well-positioned in open-pit mining operations [2][7]. - Sany's strong cash flow generation and focus on high-margin products contribute to its financial stability and self-sufficiency in core components [2][8]. Summary by Sections Domestic Market Trends - Domestic demand for construction machinery remains strong, with a year-on-year growth rate of approximately 10% for excavators [5]. - Management anticipates a 10-15% annual growth rate in the industry, driven by ongoing infrastructure projects and government stimulus policies [5]. Pricing and Competition - The competitive landscape in the construction machinery sector remains intense, particularly for small excavators, but Sany is committed to maintaining stable market share and profitability through strategic pricing [6]. Export Performance - Sany has successfully increased its market share in key regions, with promising demand in Southeast Asia and Africa, while facing challenges in Russia and the Middle East due to economic conditions [7]. Mining Equipment Opportunities - The mining sector offers significant opportunities for Sany, especially in large excavators for open-pit mining, supported by robust mining activity despite commodity price fluctuations [7]. Financial Stability - Sany prioritizes cash flow over revenue growth, ensuring financial stability and minimizing credit risk, with a focus on innovative financing solutions and strategic partnerships [8].