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CRDO Guides 120% Growth in Fiscal 2026: Will the Momentum Sustain?
ZACKSยท 2025-09-17 13:46
Core Insights - Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd (CRDO) is experiencing robust demand from hyperscalers and data center operators due to accelerated AI infrastructure investments, with Q1 fiscal 2026 revenues increasing by 31% sequentially and 274% year-over-year to $223.1 million, surpassing management's guidance of $185 million to $195 million [1][11] Revenue Growth and Projections - For fiscal 2026, the company expects mid-single-digit sequential revenue growth, leading to approximately 120% year-over-year growth, with previous expectations of revenues exceeding $800 million, indicating over 85% year-over-year growth [2] - The AEC product line is a key growth driver, showing healthy double-digit sequential growth in the last reported quarter, with increased demand expected from rack-to-rack deployments [4][11] Product and Market Position - Credo operates at the intersection of AI and data center build-outs, offering active electrical cables (AEC), optical Digital Signal Processors (DSP), and PCIe retimer solutions that meet the demand for high-speed, low-power connectivity [3] - The optical DSP segment is maintaining strong momentum, with expectations to double optical revenues in the current fiscal year, while PCIe retimer solutions are gaining traction, with anticipated design wins in 2025 and production revenues in 2026 [7][11] Competitive Landscape - The competitive environment is intensifying, with Credo facing competition from major semiconductor companies like Broadcom and Marvell Technology, as well as new entrants like Astera Labs [9] - Despite the challenges, Credo's system-level approach provides a competitive advantage, owning the entire stack of SerDes IP, Retimer ICs, and system-level design, which enhances innovation cycles and cost efficiency [8] Stock Performance and Valuation - CRDO shares have increased by 38.5% in the past month, outperforming the Electronics-Semiconductors industry's growth of 14.9% [16] - The forward 12-month Price/Sales ratio for CRDO is 27.4, significantly higher than the sector's multiple of 9.62 [18] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for CRDO earnings for fiscal 2026 has been revised upwards significantly over the past 60 days, indicating positive market sentiment [19]