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Lam Research Soars 71% in Six Months: Book Profit or Hold LRCX Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-09-24 14:21
Core Insights - Lam Research Corporation (LRCX) has experienced a significant price increase of 70.8% over the past six months, outperforming the Zacks Electronics – Semiconductors industry, which rose by 54.1% [1] - The company's strong performance is attributed to its positioning in the semiconductor market, particularly in AI and data center chip manufacturing [3] Financial Performance - In the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, Lam Research reported revenues of $5.17 billion, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 34%, and a non-GAAP EPS of $1.33, which is a 64% increase [5] - The company's non-GAAP operating margin improved to 34.4%, up 370 basis points from the previous year, indicating enhanced operational efficiency [6] Market Trends - Lam Research is benefiting from the growing demand for advanced semiconductor technologies, especially in AI and data center applications, with shipments for gate-all-around nodes and advanced packaging expected to triple from over $1 billion in 2024 to more than $3 billion in 2025 [4] - The shift towards backside power distribution and dry-resist processing presents additional growth opportunities for the company [4] Valuation - Despite the recent stock rally, LRCX's valuation remains attractive, trading at a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple of 29.24, which is lower than the industry average of 36.51 [10] - Compared to major peers, LRCX has a lower P/E multiple than KLA Corporation and ASML Holding, while trading at a premium to Applied Materials [12] Risks and Challenges - Lam Research faces potential risks from escalating U.S.-China trade tensions, which could impact its sales in China, a market that accounted for approximately 34% of its revenues in fiscal 2025, down from 42% in the previous year [13][14] - The cyclical nature of the semiconductor market poses risks to revenue consistency, with NAND pricing pressures and cautious capital spending from clients potentially limiting near-term growth [14][15] Strategic Outlook - The company’s focus on high-growth markets such as AI and high-performance computing (HPC) positions it well for long-term investment, despite near-term headwinds [16] - Holding LRCX stock is considered a prudent strategy for investors, given its attractive valuation and strong technological foundation [16]