Debt to equity ratio (D/E ratio)

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亚洲科技硬件 - 对 AI 服务器及苹果供应链进行 15 年资产负债表与现金流分析的见解-Asia Tech Hardware_ Insights from a 15-year balance sheet & cash flow analysis in AI server & Apple supply chain
2025-08-11 02:58
Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The analysis focuses on the **Asia Tech Hardware** sector, particularly the **AI server** and **Apple supply chain** industries, over a 15-year horizon, examining business models, profitability, solvency, and operational efficiency [1] Core Insights Profitability Metrics - **Return on Equity (ROE)** for ODMs and equipment suppliers is projected to be between **20-30%** in 2024, with **Chroma** and **Delta** expected to show significant increases [2] - **Chroma's ROE** has improved from **12% in 2010 to 25% in 2024**, with expectations to reach **31% in 1H25** due to its focus on niche markets and divestment from low-margin segments [15] - **Largan** and **Sunny Optical** have shown fluctuating ROE due to market conditions, with signs of recovery noted since last year [15] Operational Efficiency - **Chroma** has the longest cash conversion cycle at **209 days** due to its industry characteristics, yet maintains a strong free cash flow margin [77] - **Luxshare** has achieved an almost zero cash conversion cycle, indicating high operational efficiency [78] - **Quanta's** cash conversion cycle is longer due to logistical complexities in its supply chain [78] Debt and Solvency - Most companies maintain healthy debt levels, with **Quanta's** net debt-to-equity ratio expected to rise significantly from **15% in 2024 to over 60% in 2025-26** due to AI server business expansion [4][69] - **Largan** has a notably low net debt-to-equity ratio, reflecting its strong cash position [69] Capital Expenditure and Free Cash Flow - **Unimicron** is identified as the most capex-intensive company with a capex-to-revenue ratio averaging **21%** over the past five years [5] - **Chroma** and **Largan** exhibit free cash flow margins between **20-40%**, indicating strong cash generation capabilities [5] Investment Ratings and Price Targets - **Delta Electronics**: Rated Outperform, Price Target (PT) of **NT$630** [8] - **Chroma ATE**: Rated Outperform, PT of **NT$570** [9] - **Quanta Computer**: Rated Underperform, PT of **NT$240** [10] - **Unimicron Technology**: Rated Outperform, PT of **NT$170** [11] - **Luxshare Precision**: Rated Outperform, PT of **RMB47** [12] - **Sunny Optical**: Rated Outperform, PT of **HK$97** [13] - **Largan Precision**: Rated Market-Perform, PT of **NT$2,400** [14] Additional Observations - The **camera and PCB sectors** show that CIS and lens suppliers achieve higher ROIC compared to module players, with higher technological barriers enhancing supplier concentration [3] - **Quanta's** financial performance is heavily reliant on the PC market, which has seen fluctuations impacting its ROE [15] - The **PCB market** is characterized by cyclical demand, with companies needing substantial capital investments to expand capacities [54] This comprehensive analysis highlights the competitive landscape and financial health of key players in the Asia Tech Hardware sector, providing insights into potential investment opportunities and risks.