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Ecora Royalties emerges as defensive commodity play as Iran conflict roils mining sector
Yahoo Finance· 2026-03-18 16:15
Core Viewpoint - Ecora Royalties is positioned as a defensive commodity play amid the ongoing conflict in Iran, which is impacting the mining sector, and has been highlighted by RBC Capital Markets as a strong performer since the war began [1]. Company Structure and Performance - The royalty company's structure allows it to shield investors from rising fuel and chemical costs that are affecting conventional miners [1]. - RBC Capital Markets has reiterated an 'outperform' rating for Ecora with a price target of 175p, compared to the current share price of 133p, reflecting a 3% increase [2]. - Ecora's revenue has only decreased by 2% since the onset of the conflict, contrasting with more significant declines in other mining companies [4]. Cost Exposure and Market Dynamics - Ecora has no direct exposure to rising oil costs, which are increasing operating expenses for bulk commodity miners like Rio Tinto and BHP, who are facing freight cost increases of approximately $3.50 per tonne for shipments from Australia to China [3]. - Diesel costs account for 10% to 15% of typical site costs in the mining sector, further emphasizing the advantage of Ecora's royalty model [3]. Commodity Upside Potential - There is potential upside in cobalt and nickel, where Ecora has significant royalty exposure, particularly due to dwindling stockpiles of sulphur, which is essential for nickel processing [5]. - A shortage of sulphur could lead Indonesian producers to reduce capacity at high-pressure acid leach (HPAL) plants, tightening the supply of both cobalt and nickel [5]. Development Portfolio and Catalysts - RBC identifies near-term catalysts in Ecora's development portfolio, including a final investment decision on the Santo Domingo copper project in Chile expected in the second half of 2026 [6]. - Reports suggest that South32 may be a lead bidder for BHP's West Musgrave nickel project, which could advance Ecora's expected commissioning date from 2035 to as early as 2027, potentially adding around 9% to the company's valuation [7]. - The Rook 1 uranium project in Canada has received final regulatory approval, and Ecora holds a 2% royalty over an area that could extend the mine life into the late 2030s [7].