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Suzano (NYSE:SUZ) 2025 Investor Day Transcript
2025-12-11 14:02
Summary of Suzano's Investor Day Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Suzano - **Industry**: Pulp and Paper Key Points and Arguments Strategic Focus - Suzano is transitioning from a five-pronged strategy to a focus on two main avenues: competitiveness and value extraction from existing projects [2][4] - The company is finalizing a cycle of capital allocation, with significant investments in projects such as Cerrado, Limeira, and Aracruz [3][4] Market Outlook - Forecasts a solid growth of hardwood pulp demand, estimating an increase of 4.5 million tons until 2029, driven by tissue grades, paperboard, and specialty papers [6][7] - The share of hardwood pulp is expected to grow, with an additional demand of 700,000 tons in 2025 alone [8] Competitive Landscape - Verticalization in China is a concern, with 6 million tons of hardwood pulp projects confirmed, potentially reducing the addressable market for Suzano [10][11] - The company is monitoring the dynamics of operating rates and wood chip availability, which could impact costs [12][13] Demand and Supply Dynamics - Demand growth is projected at 3.1 million tons until 2029, while supply capacity is expected to increase by 4 million tons, leading to a demand-to-capacity ratio below optimum levels [16][17] - The current market scenario is unsustainable, with 15 million tons of pulp production losing money [21] Innovations and Initiatives - Suzano is actively engaging over 70 customers in its fiber-to-fiber agenda, achieving a 12 percentage point increase in hardwood usage among a control group of tissue players [26] - The company is investing in enhanced eucalyptus fibers to improve product quality and performance [28] Consumer Goods Strategy - In Brazil, Suzano has achieved an 18% price premium compared to competitors, with plans to increase market share through brand innovation and product launches [33][34] - The joint venture with Kimberly-Clark is expected to close by mid-2026, aiming for operational gains of $175 million [36][38] Competitiveness in Paper and Packaging - Suzano is focusing on reducing cash costs and improving competitiveness in its paper and packaging business, with a target of 21% cash cost reduction over the coming years [46][48] - The company is expanding its operations in the U.S. and leveraging long-term contracts to enhance market position [42][44] Sustainability and Forest Management - Suzano's forestry strategy emphasizes resilience against climate change, with investments in silviculture and genetics to increase productivity [53][54] - The company is committed to sustainability, with 40% of its debt linked to sustainability targets [62] Financial Projections - Projected total operational disbursement of BRL 1,983 per ton in 2027, reflecting a disciplined approach to cost management [59] Additional Important Content - The company is utilizing digital tools to enhance operational efficiency, including the use of digital twins in production processes [50][51] - Suzano's sustainability strategy is integrated across all business units, focusing on water, climate, biodiversity, and social impact [61][62]