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Market volatility to persist amid geopolitical and tariff uncertainty: Amnish Aggarwal
The Economic Times· 2026-02-24 05:59
Trade Relations and Market Volatility - The trade relations with the US remain volatile, with an interim arrangement in place but uncertainty persists due to geopolitical factors [1][5] - Caution is advised regarding the US deal, while better terms of trade are noted with the EU [1][5] - Overall market volatility is expected to continue in the near term due to tariff policies and geopolitical issues [1][5] Impact of Artificial Intelligence on IT Services - The impact of artificial intelligence on IT services is uncertain, with no significant decline in growth rates or margin pressure observed yet [1][5] - The transformation due to AI is ongoing, and it is anticipated that the market will take time to adjust [1][5] - The IT services sector has been underweight for a couple of years due to this uncertainty [1][5] Financial Services and Digital Lending - Digital lending platforms present a value unlock potential, focusing on cash flow utilization and leveraging existing telecom infrastructure [1][5] - The effectiveness of screening processes and control over lending and collections is crucial for scaling up [1][5] - The impact on financials and value unlocking is expected to take a long time to materialize [1][5] Auto Sector Performance - The auto sector has shown mixed but generally positive momentum post-GST, with robust performance in the last few months [3][5] - Two-wheelers have performed well, while passenger vehicles (PVs) have seen a later push; however, some fatigue is noted in entry-level cars [3][5] - Selectivity is key in the auto space, with strong demand in the farm sector but potential impacts from El Nino on tractor demand [3][5] Metals Sector Outlook - In the ferrous space, demand is good, and profitability is expected to improve in Q4, with incremental returns possible from current levels [3][5] - For non-ferrous metals like aluminum, the peak performance has likely been reached, with companies like Hindustan Zinc benefiting from price action [3][5] - The outlook remains positive for the ferrous sector [3][5]