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Earnings growth will be the key driver of market returns, says Manulife's Matthew Mishkin
CNBC Television· 2025-08-21 18:02
Despite the recent rotation out of tech, my next guest still sees opportunity there. So, joining me now is Matt Mskin, co-chief investment strategist at Manu Life, John Hancock Investments. Matt, it's great to have you on.And let's start right there. What do you think of stocks at these levels and and where do you think we go from here. Yeah, Morgan, today's a day that reminds you that the market was really looking forward to some rate cuts.And the thought that the economy is actually accelerating here into ...
Former Dallas Fed Pres. Robert Kaplan: There are a number of disinflationary forces going on
CNBC Television· 2025-07-29 11:05
Monetary Policy & Interest Rates - The Federal Reserve is widely expected to hold rates steady at the current FOMC meeting [1] - Some governors may dissent, arguing for lower rates [2] - The Fed is likely to keep options open, including a potential action in September [3][4][10] - The market believes that the Fed cutting rates is not a certainty, as evidenced by long rates increasing the last time rates were cut [11] - The Fed's control over the long end of the curve is limited, influenced more by future growth prospects and treasury supply/demand [12][14] Inflation & Economic Factors - There are disinflationary forces at play, including sluggish growth, regulatory review, and the AI boom [3] - Tariffs will increase costs, but the impact on persistent price pressures in a disinflationary environment is uncertain [4][5] - The Fed is trying to determine if cost increases are one-time events [6] - The unemployment rate is low due to decelerating workforce growth, not aggressive hiring [9] Labor Market - Hiring levels are sluggish and may continue to be so [10] Fed's Mandate - Price stability is considered a primary job for the Federal Reserve by many [8] - The Fed has been overbalanced towards inflation concerns recently due to the tariff situation [10] - The Fed is expected to try to get more balanced between inflation and full employment, which may lead to action [10] Fed's Decision-Making - The decision to cut rates requires a consensus among the 12 voting members, not solely the Fed chair's decision [14]