price of ANZ Banking Group (Right now, you could probably use Google or another data provider to see theof ASX: ANZ ) is around $37 per share. But what are ANZ shares really worth? How to get to an share valuation is one of the more popular questions our senior investment analysts get asked by Australian investors, especially those seeking dividend income. It’s not exclusive to ANZ Banking Group, of course.National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB) and Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) are also very pop ...

Core Insights - The article discusses the valuation of Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA) shares, emphasizing the complexity of share price valuation despite its apparent simplicity [1][3][5] Valuation Methods - The Price-Earnings (PE) ratio is a common valuation metric, with CBA's current share price at $154.95 and an earnings per share (EPS) of $5.63, resulting in a PE ratio of 27.5x, compared to the banking sector average of 19x [3][5] - A sector-adjusted PE valuation for CBA is calculated at $104.48 based on the average PE ratio of the banking sector [5] - The Dividend Discount Model (DDM) is highlighted as a more robust method for valuing bank shares, given the consistency of dividends [6][7] DDM Valuation - The DDM formula used is Share price = full-year dividend / (risk rate – dividend growth rate), with last year's dividend payment of $4.65 assumed to grow consistently [8] - Valuations using different risk rates (6% to 11%) yield a range of share price valuations, with a base valuation of $98.33 and an adjusted valuation of $100.66 using an adjusted dividend payment of $4.76 [10] - A gross dividend payment forecast of $6.80 results in a valuation of $143.80 [11] Growth and Risk Analysis - The article presents a table showing various growth and risk rate combinations, indicating how these factors influence share price valuations [12] - It suggests that understanding the bank's growth strategy, such as focusing on interest income versus non-interest income, is crucial for investment considerations [12] - Economic indicators like unemployment, house prices, and consumer sentiment are also important for assessing the bank's future performance [13]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the valuation of Bank of Queensland Limited (ASX: BOQ) shares, emphasizing the importance of using multiple valuation methods, particularly the Price-Earnings (PE) ratio and the Dividend Discount Model (DDM) for a comprehensive analysis of bank shares. Valuation Methods - The PE ratio for BOQ is calculated at 15.7x based on a share price of $6.45 and earnings per share of $0.41, compared to the banking sector average PE of 18x [5] - The DDM is highlighted as a more robust method for valuing banks, as it considers consistent dividend payments [6][7] - Using the DDM formula, the valuation of BOQ shares is estimated at $7.19 with an adjusted dividend payment of $0.35, and $10.57 when factoring in gross dividends of $0.50 [10][11] Growth and Risk Rates - The article presents various growth and risk rate scenarios, showing that a 2% growth rate with a 6% risk rate yields a valuation of $8.75, while a 4% growth rate with an 11% risk rate results in a valuation of $5.00 [12] - The analysis suggests that the average valuation should account for different growth and risk assumptions to mitigate uncertainty [8][9] Strategic Considerations - The article emphasizes the need to understand BOQ's growth strategy, whether it focuses on increasing lending or non-interest income [12] - Economic indicators such as unemployment, house prices, and consumer sentiment are crucial for assessing the bank's future performance [13] - The management team's effectiveness and company culture are also important factors to consider in the investment decision [13]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the valuation of Westpac Banking Corp (WBC) shares, emphasizing the importance of using multiple valuation methods, particularly the Price-Earnings (PE) ratio and the Dividend Discount Model (DDM) for a comprehensive analysis of bank shares [1][3][6]. Valuation Methods - The PE ratio for WBC shares is calculated at 19.9x based on a share price of $38.3 and earnings per share (EPS) of $1.92, which is slightly above the banking sector average PE of 19x [5]. - A sector-adjusted PE valuation for WBC is derived at $35.52, indicating a potential overvaluation compared to its current market price [5]. - The DDM is highlighted as a more robust method for valuing banks, taking into account consistent dividend payments [6][7]. Dividend Analysis - The DDM valuation formula is presented as Share price = full-year dividend / (risk rate – dividend growth rate), with last year's dividend of $1.66 assumed to grow consistently [8]. - Valuations using different risk rates (6% to 11%) yield a range of share price estimates, with a base valuation of $35.10 and an adjusted valuation of $34.05 based on a lower dividend payment [10]. - A gross dividend valuation, including franking credits, suggests a higher potential share price of $48.64 based on a forecast gross dividend of $2.30 [11]. Growth and Risk Considerations - The article provides a table showing various growth and risk rate scenarios, indicating that a 2% growth rate with a 6% risk rate could yield a valuation of $40.25, while a 3% growth rate at the same risk rate could lead to $53.67 [12]. - The analysis emphasizes the need to consider the bank's growth strategy, economic indicators, and management culture when evaluating investment opportunities in WBC [12][13].

Core Insights - The share price of Bank of Queensland Limited (BOQ) is currently under scrutiny as ASX investors attempt to establish a rough valuation of the company [1][2] Valuation Methods - The Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio is a common method for valuing bank shares, comparing the company's share price to its earnings per share [3] - A PE ratio of 15.9x for BOQ is calculated based on a share price of $6.52 and earnings per share of $0.41, which is lower than the banking sector average PE of 19x [5] - A sector-adjusted PE valuation for BOQ is estimated at $7.59 based on the average PE ratio of the banking sector [5] Dividend Discount Model (DDM) - The Dividend Discount Model (DDM) is a more robust valuation method for banks, using recent or forecasted dividends and a risk rate [6][7] - The formula for DDM valuation is Share price = full-year dividend / (risk rate – dividend growth rate) [8] - A valuation of BOQ shares using a blended growth and risk rate yields an average valuation of $7.19, with an adjusted dividend payment increasing the valuation to $7.40 [10] Gross Dividend Valuation - Considering fully franked dividends, a gross dividend payment forecast of $0.50 results in a valuation of $10.57 for BOQ shares [11] Growth and Risk Rate Analysis - Various growth and risk rate scenarios indicate a wide range of potential valuations, with a 6% risk rate and 4% growth rate yielding a valuation of $17.50 [12] Additional Considerations - Further research is necessary to assess the sustainability of net interest margins and regulatory compliance for non-interest income [13] - The management team's culture and effectiveness are also critical factors in long-term investment decisions [13]

Core Viewpoint - The valuation of Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA) shares is a significant concern for investors, particularly those interested in dividend income, with current share price around $155 [1][2]. Group 1: Investment Appeal of Bank Shares - Australian investors favor bank shares, including CBA, ANZ Banking Group, and Macquarie Group, due to their stability and dividend income potential [2][3]. - The banking sector operates in an oligopoly, with limited success from foreign competitors like HSBC in penetrating the market [3]. Group 2: Valuation Methods - The Price-Earnings (PE) ratio is a common method for valuing shares, comparing a company's share price to its earnings per share [4][5]. - CBA's current PE ratio is calculated at 27.5x, significantly higher than the banking sector average of 18x, leading to a sector-adjusted valuation of $102.65 [6]. Group 3: Dividend Discount Model (DDM) - The Dividend Discount Model (DDM) is highlighted as a more effective valuation method for banks, relying on past or forecasted dividends [7][8]. - Using last year's dividend of $4.65 and various risk rates, the DDM yields a valuation range for CBA shares between $98.33 and $100.66 [11][12]. - Adjusting for fully franked dividends, the valuation based on a gross dividend payment of $6.80 results in a share price valuation of $143.80 [12]. Group 4: Growth and Risk Assumptions - Different growth rates (2% to 4%) and risk rates (6% to 11%) yield varying valuations, indicating the sensitivity of the share price to these assumptions [13].

Core Insights - AbbVie Inc. is a leading pharmaceutical company set to report third-quarter earnings on October 31, 2025, with expected EPS of $1.77 and revenue of approximately $15.59 billion [1][6] - The company is rated as a Strong Buy, with anticipated revenue growth exceeding the sector median, supported by strong free cash flow margins and significant R&D investments [2][3] - AbbVie has consistently exceeded earnings expectations in the last four quarters, averaging an earnings surprise of 2.46%, although near-term profitability may be affected by high R&D expenses related to acquisitions [3] Valuation Metrics - AbbVie has a high price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of approximately 107.36, indicating strong investor confidence as they are willing to pay over 107 times the company's earnings from the past twelve months [4][6] - The price-to-sales ratio is about 6.92, suggesting that investors are paying nearly 7 times the company's sales [4][6] - The current ratio is approximately 0.74, indicating potential challenges in covering short-term liabilities with short-term assets, yet the Dividend Discount Model suggests AbbVie is significantly undervalued with a potential 27% increase in stock price over the next year [5]

Core Insights - Bendigo & Adelaide Bank Ltd (ASX: BEN) is currently trading around $13, and analysts utilize various valuation tools to determine price targets for bank shares like BEN [1][3]. Valuation Models - The Price-Earnings Ratio (P/E) is a common tool used to compare a company's share price to its earnings per share, with a current P/E ratio for BEN calculated at 14.6x compared to the banking sector average of 20x [5][8]. - A sector-adjusted P/E valuation for BEN, based on its earnings per share of $0.87, results in a valuation of $17.46 [8]. - The Dividend Discount Model (DDM) is another approach that forecasts future dividends instead of profits, with the last year's dividend of $0.63 assumed to grow at a consistent rate [9][11]. Dividend Valuation - Using the DDM, the valuation of BEN shares is calculated at $13.32, and with an adjusted dividend payment of $0.65, the valuation increases to $13.75 [13]. - Considering fully franked dividends, the valuation based on a gross dividend payment of $0.93 results in a share price valuation of $19.64 [14]. Growth and Risk Assumptions - Different growth rates (2% to 4%) and risk rates (6% to 11%) yield varying valuations, with the highest valuation of $32.50 occurring at a 4% growth rate and a 6% risk rate [15]. - Simple valuation models can provide insights but are not perfect, and further analysis is recommended to improve valuation accuracy [15][16]. Financial Health Indicators - Monitoring the growth of total loans on the balance sheet is crucial, as rapid growth may indicate higher risk, while slow growth may suggest conservatism [17]. - Key areas to analyze include provisions for bad loans, assessment rules for bad loans, and sources of capital, with a focus on the cost of capital acquisition [18].

Summary of China Construction Bank Corp. Research Call Company Overview - **Company**: China Construction Bank Corp. (CCB) - **Ticker**: 0939.HK - **Market Cap**: Rmb1,798,235 million - **Current Share Price**: HK$7.75 (as of October 20, 2025) - **Price Target**: HK$9.50 - **Dividend Yield**: 5.8% [5][2] Industry Insights - **Industry**: China Financials - **Industry View**: Attractive [5] - **Expected Trends**: - Seasonal fund inflows are anticipated to support bank share prices, with more upside expected towards the end of 2025 [2] - Moderate but steady credit demand is expected to stabilize financial asset yields and bank net interest margin (NIM), supporting revenue and profit growth in upcoming quarters [2] Financial Performance Expectations - **3Q25 Outlook**: Positive profit growth is expected for CCB, driven by a rebound in fee income and a narrowing of NIM contraction [2] - **Profit Growth Probability**: Estimated probability of 70% to 80% for positive profit growth scenario [3] Valuation Methodology - **Valuation Model**: 3-stage dividend discount model - **Discount Rate**: 10.0% in the base case - **Second-stage ROE**: 8.7% - **Long-term ROE**: 8.1% - **Long-term Dividend Payout Ratio**: 32% [8] Risks and Considerations - **Upside Risks**: - Reduction in policy intervention amid a rapid rebound in business fundamentals - Higher-than-expected non-interest income from a stronger equity market [11] - **Downside Risks**: - Further slowdown in China's macro economy - Accelerated deposit rate deregulation - Increased credit risk from SME loans as CCB shifts loan allocation to inclusive finance - Large social responsibility as a state-owned bank [11] Key Financial Metrics - **Average Daily Trading Value**: HK$2,323 million - **52-Week Price Range**: HK$8.56 - HK$5.80 [5] Analyst Ratings - **Stock Rating**: Overweight [5] - **Analysts Involved**: Richard Xu, CFA; Chiyao Huang [4] Conclusion - CCB is positioned for potential growth in the near term, supported by favorable market conditions and a solid dividend yield. However, investors should remain cautious of macroeconomic risks and the bank's evolving credit risk profile.

Core Insights - Bank of Queensland Limited (BOQ) is one of Australia's largest regional banks, operating nearly 200 branches, many of which are run by owner-managers, indicating a unique business model focused on small business ownership [1] - The current share price of BOQ is approximately $7.22, raising questions about its valuation in the market [1][11] Financial Performance - BOQ's net interest margin (NIM) is 1.56%, which is below the ASX major banks' average of 1.78%, indicating lower profitability from lending compared to peers [5][6] - The return on equity (ROE) for BOQ is 4.7%, significantly lower than the sector average of 9.35%, suggesting less efficient use of shareholder equity [7] - The common equity tier one (CET1) ratio for BOQ is 10.7%, which is also below the sector average, highlighting potential concerns regarding capital adequacy [8] Dividend Analysis - The total dividend for BOQ last year was $0.34, with projections suggesting a growth rate between 2% and 4% [10] - Using a dividend discount model (DDM), the estimated average valuation of BOQ shares is $7.19, while an adjusted valuation based on expected future dividends raises this to $7.40 [11] - Considering fully franked dividends, the 'fair value' forecast for BOQ shares could be as high as $10.57, indicating potential undervaluation based on dividend benefits [11][12]