Just when I thought I was out, they pull me back in. Guggenheim Investments is not The Godfather Part III’s Michael Corleone, but the ETF business is all but inescapable for asset managers nowadays. The company was once a major player in US ETFs, but it sold that $37 billion business line to Invesco in 2017. Last week, it filed for the first such products since, including an Ultrashort Bond ETF and five others: Short Duration Income, Investment Grade CLO, Enhanced Equity Income, Core Plus Bond and Securit ...

Core Insights - The recent surge in ETF filings for Solana indicates a significant shift in institutional interest towards SOL, with potential inflows estimated between $3.8 billion and $7.2 billion within the first year following approval [1][6][7] Group 1: Market Performance and Sentiment - Solana's price has experienced a decline of over 30% from its September peak of $209, reflecting the asset's sensitivity to broader market risk cycles and technical exhaustion [2][3][6] - The asset's performance has transitioned from a period of optimism and momentum to a correction phase, with price hovering around the mid-$140 range after failing to maintain levels above $200 [4][5] Group 2: Institutional Interest and ETF Filings - Five ETF filings within a month suggest that major asset managers are signaling long-term interest in Solana, indicating a potential early stage of deeper adoption [5][8] - The filings also imply that regulators may be warming to the idea of treating Solana as a commodity, which could facilitate institutional participation through familiar investment structures [7] Group 3: Individual ETF Filings Overview - **VanEck Solana Trust (VSOL)**: Early entry with a competitive management fee of 0.30%, positioned as a default choice for institutions seeking exposure [10][11] - **21Shares Solana Spot ETF**: First to secure SEC approval, leveraging its experience with crypto ETPs to instill confidence in operational details [12][13] - **Fidelity Solana Fund**: Enters the market with a long-term perspective, targeting large traditional allocators through its established network [14][15] - **Bitwise Solana ETF**: Focuses on Solana's ecosystem rather than just price, appealing to research-driven investors [16][17] - **Grayscale Solana ETF (Conversion)**: Plans to convert its existing Solana Trust into an ETF, allowing for a smoother transition for current trust holders [18][19] Group 4: Future Price Predictions - **Bullish Case**: If ETF inflows accelerate and network stability is maintained, prices could reach between $425 and $600 by the end of 2026 [22][23] - **Base Case**: Assuming moderate ETF approvals and slower inflows, prices may stabilize between $250 and $350 [24][25] - **Bearish Case**: If ETF inflows disappoint or technical setbacks occur, prices could fall to between $140 and $200 [26][27]