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Can F Keep Growing as EV Momentum Falters Post Incentive Withdrawal?
ZACKSยท 2025-11-04 13:16
Core Insights - Ford experienced a modest sales increase of 1.6% year over year in October, with total sales reaching 175,584 units, primarily driven by strong demand for gasoline-powered vehicles [1][11] - However, there is a significant divergence between Ford's traditional business and its electric vehicle (EV) ambitions, as EV sales sharply declined following the expiration of federal tax incentives [2][12] Sales Performance - Year-to-date, Ford's U.S. deliveries have increased by 6.6% to 1.83 million vehicles [1] - In October, Ford's EV sales fell nearly 25% year over year to 4,709 units, with the Mustang Mach-E and F-150 Lightning also experiencing declines [4][11] - The company sold 74,309 EVs year to date, reflecting a modest increase of 0.5% from the previous year [3] Impact of Federal Incentives - The expiration of the $7,500 federal EV tax credit at the end of September led to a significant drop in EV sales, highlighting the dependency on such incentives [3][5] - Leasing accounted for 71% of financed EV purchases in September but dropped to 60% in October, coinciding with a rise in average transaction prices from $60,167 to $65,021 [5] Gasoline Vehicle Sales - While EV sales declined, Ford's gasoline vehicle sales rose, with truck sales increasing by 4.9% in October to 105,771 units [7][11] - Notable gains were seen in models such as the Bronco (up 14.4%), Ranger (up 48%), and gas-powered Mustang (up 43%) [8] Hybrid and Luxury Vehicle Sales - Hybrid sales softened by 4% to 17,498 units in October, but were up nearly 20% year to date [9] - Ford's luxury brand Lincoln faced challenges, with overall sales down 13.4% to 8,100 units, despite a 37.6% increase in Navigator deliveries [9] Future Outlook - Ford's ability to balance its profitable legacy business with its emerging EV segment will be crucial, especially in a challenging environment without federal incentives [12][13] - The company must focus on recalibrating production, managing costs, and reigniting demand to sustain growth in the EV market [13]