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GM Posts Largest Gain Since the Pandemic: Shares Still Look Cheap
MarketBeatยท 2025-10-23 16:09
Core Viewpoint - General Motors (GM) has experienced a significant positive shift in its stock performance following its Q3 2025 earnings report, which exceeded expectations and indicated an improving outlook for the company [1][3]. Financial Performance - GM reported revenue of approximately $48.6 billion for Q3 2025, a slight decline of 0.3% year-over-year, but $4 billion higher than Wall Street's forecasts, which anticipated an 8.5% drop [4]. - The adjusted earnings per share (EPS) was $2.80, a 5% decline but 48 cents above the expected $2.32, significantly better than the anticipated 22% drop [5]. - Full-year guidance was revised upward, with adjusted EPS now projected at approximately $10.13, alongside an increase in operating income by $1.25 billion and adjusted automotive free cash flow by $1.75 billion [6]. Market Position and Strategy - GM led the U.S. auto market in Q3 with 710,000 deliveries, achieving a market share of 17%, the highest since 2017, while maintaining lower incentives than competitors [7]. - The company recorded 67,000 electric vehicle (EV) sales, the second highest in the U.S., benefiting from the end of EV tax credits in September [8]. - GM reduced its tariff impact guidance for 2025 by $500 million, showcasing its ability to manage external pressures effectively [8]. Demand and Cost Management - Despite economic challenges, GM maintained stable revenues, indicating resilient demand among consumers, even as consumer sentiment has declined by over 20% [9]. - The company effectively managed higher costs, as evidenced by the EPS beat and reduced tariff guidance, positioning itself for improved performance in the future [10]. Valuation and Analyst Outlook - GM's forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio stands at 6.6x, significantly lower than the industry median of 10x to 11x, and well below Tesla's 227x [11]. - Following the positive earnings results, analysts at Wedbush raised GM's price target to $75, suggesting a potential upside of approximately 13% from the recent close [11].