Core Insights - The U.S. government bonds and the TLT ETF are currently in a trading range, with long-term interest rates closer to the lows than the highs since early 2024, awaiting further economic developments [1][4] - Rising U.S. debt levels could lead to selling in the bond market, potentially causing TLT to decline, while successful economic initiatives could result in a rally for TLT [1] - As of July 23, 2025, the U.S. 30-year Treasury bonds were trading at 113-12, and the TLT ETF was at $85.97 per share, both showing upward movement since that date [2] Bond Market Trends - The U.S. 30-year Treasury Bond futures have been trading in a narrow range since 2024 and 2025, remaining close to the lower end of a bearish trend established since the pandemic high in March 2020 [3] - The long bond futures have seen a decline from a high of 191-22 in March 2020 to a low of 107-04 in October 2023, with a trading range of 110-01 to 127-22 since December 2023 [4] TLT ETF Performance - The iShares 20+Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) tracks U.S. government long-term interest rates and is a highly liquid investment product [5] - TLT has experienced a decline from a high of $179.70 in March 2020 to a low of $82.42 in October 2023, trading within a range of $83.30 to $101.64 since December 2023 [6] - As of September 2025, TLT is trading at $89.40, which is below the midpoint of its nearly two-year trading range [6]