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高盛公用事业日报英国公用事业英国碳排放交易体系与欧洲接轨得到确认森特理克集团出售天鹅座气田权益
Goldman Sachs· 2025-05-21 04:30
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry or specific companies within it Core Insights - The UK and EU are working towards linking their carbon markets, which could alleviate trade frictions and benefit companies like SSE and Centrica, with SSE having 12 TWh of fixed generation and Centrica 7 TWh that could benefit from this linkage [8] - The current carbon market price difference is approximately €9/tonne, having narrowed by €32/tonne since the beginning of the year, with a £10/tonne change impacting UK power prices by £3.5/MWh and EBIT by approximately £40 million for SSE and £25 million for Centrica [8] - Centrica is selling a 46.25% interest in the Cygnus gas field for around £215 million, which includes £116 million in headline consideration and £99 million in decommissioning liabilities [9] - The Danish government has approved a new 3 GW offshore wind tender, with a total state support of DKK 27.6 billion (€3.7 billion) [10] - The US government has lifted the ban on the Empire Wind I offshore project, allowing construction to resume [11] - A significant increase in power demand is anticipated due to the rapid expansion of data centers, with a potential 10-15% boost to Europe's power demand over the next 10-15 years [14] - The report highlights a potential 40%-50% growth in electricity consumption in Europe over the next decade, driven by data centers and electrification [15] Summary by Sections UK Utilities - The UK and EU are exploring a link between their carbon markets, which could positively impact SSE and Centrica [8] - The narrowing carbon market price difference and its implications for power prices and EBIT for SSE and Centrica are discussed [8] Centrica - Centrica's sale of its interest in the Cygnus gas field is detailed, including financial implications [9] Offshore Wind and Data Centers - The approval of a new offshore wind tender in Denmark and the lifting of the ban on the Empire Wind project in the US are significant developments [10][11] - The report emphasizes the expected increase in power demand due to data centers and electrification trends in Europe [14][15]