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DonAlt· 2025-11-25 04:11
My daughter been sick for the last weekBeen sleeping in the guestroom with her because she's suffering and feels better when I'm aroundMan I didn't know what exhaustion felt like before having a sick child to take care of while also having a newborn in the houseShe wakes up every 15 minutes or so to check if I'm still next to her and once she notices she tries to cuddle me as tightly as she can which wakes me upOver and over and over again, for days nowAnd when I try to catch up on sleep during the day my s ...
Gaming out the Fed's next move
CNBC Television· 2025-08-20 17:12
Market Sentiment and Profit Taking - The market experienced profit-taking, particularly in momentum stocks, suggesting a potential shift in sentiment [1][4] - The momentum factor, driven by names like Palantir, peaked in mid-August, indicating a possible temporary or permanent top [4][5] - An Evercore ISI note suggested a potential 7% to 15% market pullback if the Fed Chair is neutral or hawkish [8] - The market is potentially front-running expectations of a neutral or hawkish stance from the Fed Chair at Jackson Hole [9] Economic Indicators and Fed Policy - The market is pricing in nearly an 80% rate cut in September, but there's a high probability the Fed Chair's words won't align with this expectation [3] - The Fed Chair has been data-driven, considering both inflation and job growth, making a dovish stance unlikely [10] - CPI was cooler than expected, but core CPI was hotter, not showing a clear downward trend in inflation [19][20] - PPI shows the impact of tariffs, while CPI does not, creating a dilemma for the Fed Chair [16][17][22] - A rate cut of 25 basis points is probable, but further cuts later in the year are uncertain [26] Market Performance and Exhaustion - The NASDAQ Composite is up 40% since April 8th, the NASDAQ 100 up 37%, the S&P 500 up 29%, and the equal weight up 22%, indicating significant gains and potential exhaustion [11][12] - The market's strength year-to-date has been driven by momentum names, leading to a modest correction due to exhaustion [7] - Institutional outlook suggests limited optimism for further market gains, with the median S&P target at 6,500, only a 2% increase [14] ETF Rebalancing and Stock Performance - Recent ETF rebalancing saw underperformance in entered momentum names, including software (Data Dog down 10%, Microsoft down 5%) and crypto (Coinbase, Block) [6] - September has historically been the worst month for the S&P, with an average decline of 2% [19]
Why rest is a right, not a ‘luxury’ | Jotina Buck | TEDxThird Ward
TEDx Talks· 2025-06-19 17:00
Core Argument - The speech advocates for rest as a basic human right, not a luxury, and challenges the societal normalization of exhaustion driven by capitalism, white supremacy, and grind culture [5][6] - It proposes a shift from individual rest practices to a culture of rest through mutual aid, emphasizing community care and collective action [6][18] Proposed Solutions - The speech introduces the concept of "rest mutual aid," including rest gifting (offering rest to others), rest swaps (exchanging rest and restoration), and emergency rest funds [7][8] - It suggests creating rest pods (small groups for accountability in slowing down) and rest circles (larger community gatherings for restorative practices) [9][10] Personal Transformation & Community Impact - The speaker shares a personal experience of burnout and relocation to Mexico to reclaim rest and disconnect worth from productivity [11] - The speech highlights the positive impact of rest retreats and communities on individuals like Lisa, who integrated rest practices and formed rest pods [14][15] Call to Action - The speech encourages listeners to identify those in their lives who need rest and to support them, promoting rest as a shared resource like food or love [17] - It urges listeners to embrace rest mutual aid as a revolutionary act of community care, emphasizing the inherent worthiness of rest [18]