Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The discussion centers around the **semiconductor industry**, particularly focusing on **Intel** and its potential shift towards becoming a **fabless company** if it fails to secure a major external customer for its 14A and subsequent nodes [2][9]. Core Insights and Arguments 1. **Intel's Strategic Shift**: Intel may cease pursuing its 14A node and subsequent nodes, which could lead to it becoming a fabless company. This shift would have significant implications for the semiconductor supply chain [2][9]. 2. **Impact on Wafer Fabrication Equipment (WFE)**: Intel is a major player in semiconductor capital expenditure, contributing **20-25%** of logic foundry capex and **10-15%** of total semiconductor capex. A shift to fabless would negatively impact the WFE market, particularly for EUV supply chain companies like **Lasertec** and **ASML** [3][14]. 3. **EUV Supply Chain Exposure**: Companies like Lasertec and ASML are significantly exposed to Intel, with Lasertec deriving approximately **40%** of its backlog from Intel. ASML, while having a lower revenue contribution, still relies on Intel for **15-20%** of its EUV revenue [3][4][19]. 4. **Beneficiaries of Intel's Potential Fabless Model**: If Intel becomes fabless, companies such as **TSMC**, **Samsung Foundry**, and **Hoya** are expected to benefit. Hoya, in particular, could see its market share in EUV mask blanks grow from **70% to 100%** if Intel stops internal manufacturing [4][5][9]. 5. **Long-term Market Dynamics**: The transition may create a time lag for TSMC and Samsung to redesign chips and build capacity, but TSMC is well-positioned to benefit from Intel's potential fabless status. Samsung Foundry is also expected to gain from this shift [5][9]. 6. **Intel's Challenges**: The potential move to fabless raises concerns about Intel's competitiveness against AMD and could disrupt its product roadmap. The uncertainty surrounding this transition may deter major customers from partnering with Intel [6][7][9]. Additional Important Insights - **Market Performance Ratings**: The report includes performance ratings for various companies, with **TSMC** rated as Outperform with a price target of **NT$1,260.00**, and **Samsung** also rated as Outperform with a price target of **KRW 78,000**. Intel is rated as Market-Perform with a target price of **$21.00**, reflecting a significant decline of **51.8%** [10][11][12]. - **Investment Implications**: The report suggests avoiding Intel due to the substantial disruption and uncertainty surrounding its business model and stock performance. Conversely, TSMC, Samsung Foundry, and Hoya are seen as potential investment opportunities [9]. This summary encapsulates the critical points discussed in the conference call, highlighting the implications of Intel's strategic decisions on the semiconductor industry and related companies.