We're all going to be focused on this. I haven't had data for ages. What are they going to tell us.Yeah, I mean, this is the hard bit, right. We have inflation data coming in. I think the feed through to the equity market, the main channel, is how it impacts your expectation for Fed funds.So what you tend to see is if you get a hotter than expected inflation print, that means you need a higher discount rate that impacts earnings and therefore equities to the downside. Whereas if you get a downside surprise, ...

Interest Rate Trends - In the fall of 2024, the Federal Reserve lowered the Fed funds rate by 100 basis points [1] - Contrary to expectations, the 10-year Treasury yield increased from 36% to 47% during the same period [2] - As of September 17th, the Fed has restarted its rate cutting cycle [3] - Before the cut, the 10-year Treasury yield was at 405%, and it slightly increased to 413% over the next 5 days [4] Inflation and Market Reaction - Analysts suggested the initial rate cuts were premature due to persistent inflation [2] - Headline inflation remains above the Fed's 2% target [2] - The modest increase in yield after the recent rate cut may indicate a market rotation into equities [4] - The bond market's inflation perception could change based on upcoming PCE and CPI data [5] Economic Concerns - Rising yields may be due to inflation concerns or the increasing amount of debt needing to be rolled over [5] - Reduced demand from China could impact the US [5]

Hey everyone and thanks for jumping back into the macroverse. Today we're going to talk about the recent jobs report and how the unemployment rate has risen to 4.3%. Furthermore, we had some revisions to prior months that actually sent I believe it was the June non-farm payrolls negative.So, we're going to talk about some of that stuff, what it might do to to expectations for the Fed funds rate, etc. We'll probably talk a little bit also about Bitcoin and the stock market. If you guys like the content, make ...