Core Insights - A significant downturn in global metals markets, a notable decline in U.S. stock prices, and a continued drop in Bitcoin values indicate potential challenges for President Donald Trump in securing a favorable Federal Reserve chair [1] Group 1: Market Conditions - The global metals markets are experiencing a meltdown, which could impact various industries reliant on these materials [1] - U.S. stock markets have seen a sharp pullback, suggesting investor uncertainty and potential volatility ahead [1] - Bitcoin prices are in ongoing collapse, reflecting broader concerns in the cryptocurrency market and its implications for financial stability [1]

Despite the expected arrival of a new Trump-appointed Federal Reserve chair in coming months, respondents to the CNBC survey are only forecasting modest changes to the funds rate over the next two years. The results, which mirror pricing in the fed funds futures market, show that neither Wall Street nor economic forecasters believe that the next Fed chair will drive down overnight rates toward the low levels demanded by the president. ...

JPMorgan Chase Chair and CEO Jamie Dimon says there's no chance he'll be Federal Reserve chair but doesn't rule out becoming US Treasury Secretary during an interview with David Rubenstein at the US Chamber of Commerce's 2026 State of American Business. ...

Market Analysis Based on Potential Fed Chair Picks - Reflexivity's analysis suggests different investment strategies based on who is chosen as the next Federal Reserve chair [1][3] - The platform uses odds calculation to provide optimal positioning advice [3] Investment Strategies Under Different Scenarios - If Kevin Hasset is chosen, the best strategy is to invest in small-cap stocks, benefiting from potential immediate rate relief and higher expected growth [3][4] - Small caps have 60% floating rate debt versus 30% for large caps, making them more sensitive to rate changes [4] - If Kevin Warsh is chosen, financial sector stocks (e g, XLF) are preferred due to his perceived stability and market trust [5][6] - A Warsh appointment is expected to steepen the yield curve, benefiting banks [6] Investment Strategy for Uncertainty - If the choice between candidates is unclear, the Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF (VIG) is recommended [7][8] - VIG performs well in a lower rate environment, as companies maintaining dividends often have pricing power [8] - VIG offers diversification across financials, healthcare, tech, and consumer staples [8] - VIG provides lower volatility and lower expected reward, suitable when the outcome is uncertain [8][9]

Welcome back to Squbox. This morning, Treasury Secretary Scott Besson will reportedly begin interviewing candidates this Friday to be the next Federal Reserve chair. The Wall Street Journal reporting that interviews will continue next week.It'll be conducted either in person or via video conference. Among the nearly dozen candidates that have been mentioned as potential picks to head the US Central Bank, National Economic Council Director Kevin Hasset's on that list, former Fed Governor Kevin Worsh, we've h ...

Yeah. Fighting the last war as as we've seen with regulators. So, do you think that they're being they're being political. Do you think that Peter Pal is political.Uh I I think that it's a it's a vote a vote of the FOMC, the voting members. So, u you know, we we'll see. There seems to be a big dispersion in the so-called dotplot, the summary of economic projections between the Trump appointees and the non-Trump appointees.Uh, I'll let you read into that what you want. No, I pointed it out before. Waller and ...