Financialization of the US economy
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This year's crypto Thanksgiving conversation was actually about prediction markets
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-28 11:00
Core Insights - The rise of prediction markets is becoming a popular topic of discussion, especially during social gatherings like Thanksgiving, replacing traditional conversations about cryptocurrency [1] - Prediction markets are designed to broaden the user base for wagering and redefine the concept of betting, appealing to both younger and older generations [2] Company Developments - Robinhood has seen a significant stock increase of 11% following its announcement of an expansion in prediction markets through a partnership with Susquehanna International, aiming to enhance its offerings for retail investors [5] - The trading platform has already partnered with Kalshi, resulting in over 1 million users trading 9 billion contracts since the launch last year, generating $100 million in annualized revenue [6] Industry Trends - Platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket are expanding prediction markets beyond traditional sports betting, allowing users to wager on various events, including pop culture and political outcomes [3] - A report from Bank of America highlights emerging risks associated with the rapid growth of prediction markets and mobile sports betting, indicating that easy access and gamified interfaces may lead to impulsive wagering and potential financial overextension [8] - Analysts warn that the convergence of entertainment and speculative finance could increase behavioral risks, affecting credit quality and leading to higher delinquencies for issuers and subprime lenders [9]