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BIS warns of mounting disconnect between debt and stock markets
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-15 11:18
Group 1 - The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) has indicated that record global share prices are increasingly disconnected from rising concerns about government debt levels in bond markets [1][2] - Moody's has downgraded the United States to a non-triple A status, and Fitch has cut France's rating to its lowest ever level due to concerns about government finances [2] - The head of BIS' Monetary and Economic Department, Hyun Song Shin, warned about the elevated valuations of risky assets, which leave them vulnerable to market stress [2][3] Group 2 - Government bond issuance is being absorbed by highly-leveraged investors like hedge funds, which could lead to market eruptions before debt levels exceed sustainability definitions [3] - Despite some non-U.S. investors selling U.S. bonds and stocks in April, most of these flows reversed in May and June, indicating a gradual shift away from U.S. assets [4] - The BIS noted that the significant holdings of U.S. assets by global investors and the slow pace of strategic asset allocation suggest any major portfolio shifts will be gradual [4] Group 3 - A new global survey by the BIS on public inflation expectations shows that the post-COVID spike in prices has raised household inflation expectations, particularly in countries with the largest increases [5][6] - The BIS expressed concerns about the lasting effects of temporary inflation surges, noting that households generally do not blame central banks for inflation issues [6] - There is a cooling of the real economy, particularly in the U.S. labor market, as indicated by Shin [6]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-09-03 23:28
Japan’s 30-year government bond auction faces added uncertainty from global debt market turmoil and political instability at home which has reignited concerns over the country’s fiscal outlook https://t.co/jub2TxMKbd ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-09-02 09:30
Yields on 30-year UK bonds will climb above 6% by the end of the year as investor confidence over the nation’s fiscal outlook falters, according to Franklin Templeton https://t.co/N8Kkdwgoqd ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-07-22 20:32
Brazil announced a reduction of the total amount of its spending freeze for this year after the Supreme Court reinstated the bulk of a tax decree that had sparked disputes with Congress and added to uncertainty about its fiscal outlook https://t.co/6zdZF0x215 ...